Abstract

Although some debate on the feasibility and effectiveness of fiscal policy in stabilizing output fluctuations continues, there is little disagreement that, as a rule, policy should not be procyclical. The standard Keynesian approach suggests that fiscal policy should act in a stabilizing manner, while within the neoclassical paradigm, tax-smoothing models imply that fiscal policy should remain neutral over the business cycle. Even in a Ricardian framework, where a reduction in taxes or an increase in spending leads to an equivalent rise in private sector saving, policy would not be expected to be procyclical.