Chapter 9 Institutions, Program Implementation, and Macroeconomic Performance
Author:
Saleh M. Nsouli
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and
Ruben Atoyan
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Language:
English
Print Publication Date:
03 Apr 2006
Keywords:
SEM; IMF program; country; IMF-supported program; program implementation; IMF effort; current account ratio; Current account; Capital flows; Private capital flows; Fiscal stance; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa; East Asia; Africa; Europe; IMF arrangement; IMF quota; program interruption; program participation; program approval; Inflation; Current account balance; Corruption

Abstract

This paper assesses empirically the links among a country’s institutions and political environment, its implementation of IMF-supported programs, and macroeconomic performance in a sample of 197 programs approved between 1992 and 2002. We find that a stronger institutional and political environment is associated with better macroeconomic outcomes, especially at longer time horizons. This direct beneficial impact of institutions on macroeconomic outcomes is in addition to their indirect impact through better program implementation. We also find that program implementation exerts an independent influence on macroeconomic outcomes, especially over shorter time horizons of up to two years. Better-implemented programs are associated with lower inflation and with initially weaker but ultimately stronger external and fiscal outcomes, but with a statistically insignificant impact on economic growth.

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IMF-Supported Programs
Recent Staff Research
ISBN:
9781589063617
Publication Date:
03 Apr 2006
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781589063617.072
Pages:
292

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