The creation of EMU is one of the most important international monetary developments in the post-Bretton Woods period. With the establishment of EMU, the euro will become the second most important official reserve currency in the world,13 and the future European Central Bank (ECB) will assume its place as the supranational institution to manage a “multistate” currency. Although the political, cultural, and economic challenges are formidable, the euro has the potential to reshape European and international financial markets and to transform the multilateral international monetary system into a tripolar or even bipolar system.14 At a minimum, the euro is likely to assume a more significant role in international trade, private financial transactions, and official reserves. Whether the euro will initially be a strong or a weak currency will depend in large part on the ability of EMU member countries to continue along the path of fiscal consolidation and structural reform and on the credibility of the ECB.
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