There is by now a large and well-known body of theoretical literature on the relative merits of fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. This section first describes the salient features of the literature, which has been developed mainly in the context of industrial countries engaged in short-run stabilization of output,4 but which may also be relevant for developing countries not restricted by a severe balance of payments constraint. The discussion focuses on the effectiveness of fixed and flexible exchange rates in insulating the economy from external and domestic shocks. The section concludes with an assessment of the practical implications of this literature for adopting fixed or flexible exchange rates in cases in which the objective is to stabilize output in a low and stable inflation environment.
Adams, Charles Daniel Gros, “The Consequences of Real Exchange Rate Rules for Inflation: Some Illustrative Examples,” IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 33 (September 1986). pp. 439–76.
Aghevli, Bijan B. “Experiences of Asian Countries wiih Various Exchange Rate Policies,” in Exchange Rate Rules: The Theory, Performance, and Prospects of the Crawling Peg. ed. by Williamson, John (London: MacMillan, 1981), pp. 298–318.
Aghevli, Bijan B. and Peter J. Montiel, “Exchange Rate Policies in Developing Countries,” in Exchange Rate Policies of Less Developed and Socialist Economies, ed. by E. Claasen (San Francisco: International Center for Economic Growth, 1990).
Aizenman, Joshua, and Jacob A. Frenkel, “Optimal Wage Indexation, Foreign Exchange Intervention, and Monetary Policy.” American Economic Review. Vol. 75 (June 1985), pp. 402–23.
Argy, Victor and Paul De Grauwe. eds., Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime: The Challenge for Smaller Industrial Countries (Washington, D.C., International Monetary Fund, 1990).
Balassa, Bela, “The Purchasing Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal,” Journal of Political Economy (December 1964), pp. 584–96.
Barro, Robert J., David B. Gordon, “Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy,” Journal of Monetary Economics (July 1983), pp. 101–21.
Boyer, R., “Optimal Foreign Exchange Market Intervention,” Journal of Political Economy (December 1978). pp. 1045–55.
Buiter, Willem, “Fiscal Prerequisites for a Viable Managed Exchange Rate Regime: A Non-Technical Eclectic Introduction,” NBER Working Paper No. 2041 (Cambridge, Massachusetts: National Bureau for Economic Research, October 1986).
Calvo, Guillermo A., Pablo E. Guidotti, “Level and Variability of the Optimal Inflation Tax,” unpublished; International Monetary Fund (1989).
Canzoneri, Matthew B., “Monetary Policy Games and the Role of Private Information,” American Economic Review (December 1985), pp. 1056–69.
Crockett, Andrew D., Saleh M. Nsouli, “Exchange Rate Policies for Developing Countries.” Journal of Developing Studies, Vol. 13 (January 1977), pp. 125–43.
Dornbusch, Rudiger, “Exchange Rate Rules and Macroeconomic Stability,” in Exchange Rate Rules: The Theory, Performance and Prospects of the Crawling Peg, ed. by Williamson, John (London: MacMillan, 1981).
Dornbusch, Rudiger, “PPP Exchange-Rate Rules and Macroeconomic Stability,” Journal of Political Economy (February 1982), pp. 158–65.
Dornbusch, Rudiger, “Purchasing Power Parity,” in The New Pat-grave Dictionary of Economics, ed. by John Eatwell, Murray Milgare, Peter Newman, (New York: Stockton Press, 1987).
Edwards, Sebastian, Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation and Adjustment: Exchange Rate Policy in Developing Countries (Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press, 1989).
Flood, Robert “Capital Mobility and the Choice of Exchange Rate Systems,” International Economic Review (June 1979), pp. 405–16.
Frenkel, Jacob A. “The Collapse of Purchasing Power Parities During the 1970s,” European Economic Review (May 1981), pp. 145–65.
Frenkel, Jacob A. Joshua Aizenman, “Aspects of the Optimal Management of Exchange Rates,” Journal of International Economics (September 1982), pp. 231–56.
Frenkel, Jacob A. Morris Goldstein, “A Guide to Target Zones,” IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 33, No. 4 (December 1986). pp. 633–73.
Frenkel, Jacob A. and Assaf Razin, Fiscal Policies and the World Economy (Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press, 1987).
Friedman, Milton “The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates,” in Essays in Positive Economies, ed. by Friedman, Milton (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1976).
Genberg, Hans “Purchasing Power Parity as a Rule for a Crawling Peg,” in Exchange Rate Rules: The Theory. Performance and Prospects of the Crawling Peg, ed. by Williamson, John (London: MacMillan, 1981).
Genberg, Hans “Exchange Rate Management and Macroeconomic Policy: A National Perspective,” unpublished (July 1989).
Giavazzi, Francesco, and Marco Pagano, “The Advantage of Tying One’s Hands: EMS Discipline and Central Bank Credibility.” Centre for Economic Policy Discussion Paper No. 135 (October 1986).
Harberger, Arnold C. “Economic Adjustment and the Real Exchange Rate,” in Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries, ed. by Edwards, Sebastian Ahmed, Liaquat (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1986), pp. 371–423.
Helpman, Elhanan, and Leonardo Leiderman, “Exchange Rate Systems: Are There New Answers to Old Questions?” unpublished (December 1989).
Johnson, Harry G., “The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates. 1969,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review (1969), pp. 12–24.
Khan, Mohsin S., “Developing Country Exchange Rate Policy Responses to Exogenous Shocks,” American Economic Review (May 1986), pp. 84–7.
Khan, Mohsin S., and J. Saul Lizondo, “Devaluation. Fiscal Deficits, and the Real Exchange Rate,” World Bank Economic Review (January 1987), pp. 357–74.
Khan, Mohsin S., and Peter Montiel, “Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Small Primary-Exporting Country,” IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 34 (December 1987), pp. 681–710.
Kharas, Homi Brian Pinto, “Exchange Rate Rules, Black Market Premia, and Fiscal Deficits: The Bolivian Hyperinflation,” Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 56 (1989), pp. 435–48.
Krugman, Paul “A Model of Balance of Payments Crises,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (August 1979), pp. 311–25.
Kydland, Finn and Edward Prescott, “Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optima! Plans,” Journal of Political Economy (June 1977), pp. 730–91.
Lizondo, J. Saul “Real Exchange Rate Targets, Nominal Exchange Rate Policies, and Inflation,” University of Tucuman, unpublished (November 1989).
Marston, Robert “Wages, Relative Prices and Choice Between Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates,” Canadian Journal of Economics (February 1982), pp. 87–103.
Mussa, Michael “Exchange Rate Policy for Developing Countries: The Case for a Pegged Exchange Rate,” unpublished (January 1978).
Obstfeld, Maurice “Balance of Payments Crises and Devaluation,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (May 1984), pp. 208–17.
Officer, Lawrence H. “The Productivity Bias in Purchasing Power Parity: An Econometric Investigation,” IMF Staff Papers. Vol. 23 (November 1976), pp. 545–79.
Polak, J.J. “Summary,” in Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime for Smaller Industrial Countries (Washington, D.C., International Monetary Fund, 1990).
Poole, W. “Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 84 (1970), pp. 197–216.
Quirk, Peter J., and other Floating Exchange Rates in Developing Countries: Experience with Auction and Interbank Markets, IMF Occasional Paper 53, (Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund, 1987).
Rogoff, Kenneth “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target,” Quarterly Journal of Economics (November 1985), pp. 1169–89.
Samuelson, Paul A., “Theoretical Notes on Trade Problems,” Review of Economics and Statistics (May 1964), pp. 145–54.
Taylor, John B., “Staggered Wage Setting in a Macro Model,” American Economic Review (May 1979). pp. 108–13.
Turnovsky, Stephen, “The Relative Stability of Alternative Exchange Rate Systems in the Presence of Random Disturbances,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (February 1976), pp. 29–50.
Turnovsky, Stephen, “Wage Indexation and Exchange Market Intervention in a Small Open Economy,” Canadian Journal of Economics (November 1985), pp. 574–92.
Wickham, Peter “The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime in Developing Countries.” IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 32 (June 1985), pp. 248–88.
Williamson, John, ed., Exchange Rate Rules: The Theory, Performances and Prospects of the Crawling Peg (London: MacMillan, 1981).
Williamson, John, ed., “A Survey of the Literature on the Optimal Peg” Journal of Development Economics (August 1982), pp. 39–61.
International Monetary Fund Copyright © 2010-2021. All Rights Reserved.