Abstract

With inflation declining to single digits in many sub-Saharan African countries since the early 2000s, central banks currently face a different set of challenges. In particular, as is the case in other countries, the relationship between money and inflation has become weaker in a low-inflation environment, as countries have opened their capital accounts, attracting capital inflows, and deepened their financial markets. As advanced economies exit from unconventional monetary policies that were designed to provide economic stimulus in the wake of the global financial crisis, their tightening of monetary policy will increase funding costs for frontier market economies and heighten the risk of reversal of capital flows as recently experienced by a number of emerging markets. Against this backdrop, this chapter considers the conduct of monetary policy and its recent evolution in a select group of countries in sub-Saharan Africa, including the key factors driving the changes and the challenges they pose, and how policymakers are responding to them. The downside risks and policy recommendations set out in this chapter underscore the need for vigilant and effective monetary policy to help mitigate the risks to macroeconomic and financial stability.

Contributor Notes

This chapter was prepared by Hamid Davoodi, Mumtaz Hussain, R. Armando Morales, Bozena Radzewicz-Bak, Juan Treviño, and Oral Williams under the guidance of S. Kal Wajid and Michael Atingi-Ego. Research assistance was provided by Cleary Haines and George Rooney.
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