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A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns1

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns1 »

Source: A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns

Volume/Issue: 2005/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Del Negro , and Robin Brooks

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

ISBN: 9781451860719

Keywords: Diversification, risk, stock returns, standard deviation, equation, standard deviations, correlation,

We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks...

Currency Crises

Currency Crises »

Source: Currency Crises : In Search of Common Elements

Volume/Issue: 2000/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ranil Salgado , Jahangir Aziz , and Francesco Caramazza

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451848892

Keywords: Currency Crises, outliers, banking crises, standard deviations, standard deviation

The paper seeks to identify common characteristics among a variety of macroeconomic and financial variables for a large sample of currency crises in industrial countries and emerging market economies. It covers cri...

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets »

Source: Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets : How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?

Volume/Issue: 1996/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anthony Richards

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1996

ISBN: 9781451844757

Keywords: emerging markets, predictability, autocorrelation, cointegration, standard deviation

This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been n...

Philippines: Selected Issues

Philippines: Selected Issues »

Source: Philippines : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2006/181

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451831375

Keywords: external debt, foreign currency, standard deviation, financial institutions

This Selected Issues paper on the Philippines reviews the diminished volatility of the Republic of Philippines bonds (RoPs), even through a period of extended turbulence cannot be attributed solely to the sanguine...

Philippines: Selected Issues

Philippines: Selected Issues »

Source: Philippines : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2006/181

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451831375

Keywords: external debt, foreign currency, standard deviation, financial institutions

This Selected Issues paper on the Philippines reviews the diminished volatility of the Republic of Philippines bonds (RoPs), even through a period of extended turbulence cannot be attributed solely to the sanguine...

Philippines: Selected Issues

Philippines: Selected Issues »

Source: Philippines : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2006/181

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451831375

Keywords: external debt, foreign currency, standard deviation, financial institutions

This Selected Issues paper on the Philippines reviews the diminished volatility of the Republic of Philippines bonds (RoPs), even through a period of extended turbulence cannot be attributed solely to the sanguine...

Philippines: Selected Issues

Philippines: Selected Issues »

Source: Philippines : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2006/181

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451831375

Keywords: external debt, foreign currency, standard deviation, financial institutions

This Selected Issues paper on the Philippines reviews the diminished volatility of the Republic of Philippines bonds (RoPs), even through a period of extended turbulence cannot be attributed solely to the sanguine...

How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts

How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts »

Source: How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts : Cross-Country Evidence From Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth

Volume/Issue: 2000/77

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Loungani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2000

ISBN: 9781451849981

Keywords: Forecasting, Recessions, GDP, Consensus, IMF, recession, standard deviation, correlation

This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and developing countries from 1989 to 1998. The questions addressed are (1) How do forecast errors differ across industri...

Policy Complementarities and the Washington Consensus

Policy Complementarities and the Washington Consensus »

Source: Policy Complementarities and the Washington Consensus

Volume/Issue: 1997/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jahangir Aziz , and Robert Westcott

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1997

ISBN: 9781451940954

Keywords: economic growth, development policies, complementarities, probability, probabilities, standard deviation, equation

While economists continue to debate whether particular economic policies, such as those referred to in Willliamson’s (1993) “Washington Consensus,” can spur growth in developing countries, this...

Tunisia

Tunisia »

Source: Tunisia : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2007/319

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451837933

Keywords: inflation targeting, monetary policy, international monetary fund, standard deviation

This Selected Issues paper analyzes trends in Tunisian inflation. It computes measures of core inflation, and develops a simple framework for forecasting inflation. The paper econometrically estimates the degree of...