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Measuring Misalignment

Measuring Misalignment »

Source: Measuring Misalignment : Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s

Volume/Issue: 1999/120

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1999

ISBN: 9781451854251

Keywords: exchange rate, purchasing power parity, overvaluation, cointegration, exchange rates, real exchange rates, real exchange rate

The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are...

L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques

L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2001

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758859.051

ISBN: 9781557758859

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2001

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759832.051

ISBN: 9781557759832

Keywords: Economic conditions, early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Andrew Berg , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 2001

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759849.051

ISBN: 9781557759849

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 February 2001

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759856.051

ISBN: 9781557759856

Keywords: Economic conditions, early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1 »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable?

Volume/Issue: 1997/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451857634

Keywords: exchange rate, overvaluation, real exchange rate, currency crises, nominal exchange rate

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expect...

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth? »

Source: What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

Volume/Issue: 2005/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , and Raghuram Rajan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861457

Keywords: Growth, Competitiveness, exchange rate, standard deviation, real exchange rate, exchange rate overvaluation, standard errors, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

We examine one of the most important and intriguing puzzles in economics: why it is so hard to find a robust effect of aid on the long-term growth of poor countries, even those with good policies. We look for a pos...

Aid, Exports, and Growth

Aid, Exports, and Growth »

Source: Aid, Exports, and Growth : A Time-Series Perspective on the Dutch Disease Hypothesis

Volume/Issue: 2013/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joong Kang , Alessandro Prati , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484320112

Keywords: Common factors, Panel VARs, Exchange rate overvaluation, exchange rate, real exchange rate, exchange rate policy, trade liberalization, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

We use a heterogeneous panel VAR model identified through factor analysis to study the dynamic response of exports, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a “global” aid shock. We find that a global ai...

Prévoir les crises économiques: un système d’alerte avancée

Prévoir les crises économiques: un système d’alerte avancée »

Source: L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2001

Language: French

ISBN: 9781557758859

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

L’intégration des marchés financiers mondiaux au cours de la décennie passée confronte les responsables publics à des difficultés nouvelles. La vitesse à laquelle l’argent peut se d...

Measuring Misalignment
			: Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s

Measuring Misalignment : Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s »

Volume/Issue: 1999/120

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451854251.001

ISBN: 9781451854251

Keywords: exchange rate, purchasing power parity, overvaluation, cointegration, exchange rates, real exchange rates, real exchange rate

The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are...