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The Housing Cycle in Emerging Middle Eastern Economies and its Macroeconomic Policy Implications

The Housing Cycle in Emerging Middle Eastern Economies and its Macroeconomic Policy Implications »

Source: The Housing Cycle in Emerging Middle Eastern Economies and its Macroeconomic Policy Implications

Volume/Issue: 2009/288

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Samya Beidas-Strom , Weicheng Lian , and Ashwaq Maseeh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2009

ISBN: 9781451874334

Keywords: Housing finance, mortgage market, housing and rental price dynamics and bubbles, panel data analysis, mortgage, real estate, mortgage markets,

This paper examines housing finance and housing price dynamics in selected emerging Middle Eastern economies over the past two decades. It finds that (i) mortgage markets have experienced rapid development, which h...

Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty

Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty »

Source: Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty : Is Africa Different?

Volume/Issue: 2005/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2005

ISBN: 9781451860375

Keywords: growth regressions, Bayesian model averaging, dynamic panel estimation, debt, probability, samples, debt service, external debt, Bayesian Analysis, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data

This paper attempts to identify robust patterns of cross-country growth behavior in the world as a whole and Africa. It employs a novel methodology that incorporates a dynamic panel estimator, and Bayesian Model Av...

Estimating Fiscal Multipliers with Correlated Heterogeneity*

Estimating Fiscal Multipliers with Correlated Heterogeneity* »

Source: Estimating Fiscal Multipliers with Correlated Heterogeneity

Volume/Issue: 2016/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emmanouil Kitsios , and Manasa Patnam

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498389808

Keywords: Panel analysis, Economic theory, Fiscal policy, Government expenditures, Economic growth, Fiscal Multipliers, Nonseparable Unobserved Heterogeneity, Oil Price, Models with Panel Data

We estimate the average fiscal multiplier, allowing multipliers to be heterogeneous across countries or over time and correlated with the size of government spending. We demonstrate that this form of nonseparable u...

Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy

Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy »

Source: Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Volume/Issue: 2015/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513537429

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Macroprudential policy analysis, Spillover analysis, Forecasting, World economy, Bayesian econometrics, financial variables, demand, risk

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction »

Source: Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Volume/Issue: 2002/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Leite , Charalambos Tsangarides , and Dhaneshwar Ghura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2002

ISBN: 9781451854091

Keywords: Macroeconomic Policy, Bayesian Analysis, probability, logarithm, equation, correlation, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Measurement and Analysis of Poverty, Comparative Studies of Countries,

The paper investigates the existence of "super pro-poor" policies-that is, policies that directly influence the income of the poor after accounting for the effect of growth. It uses a dynamic panel estimator to cap...

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions »

Source: The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

Volume/Issue: 2010/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , and Inci Ötker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201365

Keywords: Large Complex Financial Institutions, dynamic panel data, CAMELS, vulnerability analysis, bond, autocorrelation, corporate bond, statistics, standard errors, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation

This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly d...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy »

Source: The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...

What's Driving Private Investment in Malaysia? Aggregate Trends and Firm-Level Evidence

What's Driving Private Investment in Malaysia? Aggregate Trends and Firm-Level Evidence »

Source: What's Driving Private Investment in Malaysia? Aggregate Trends and Firm-Level Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2006/190

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olaf Unteroberdoerster , and Roberto Guimarães

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

ISBN: 9781451864502

Keywords: long- and short-run dynamics, Tobin&;amp;#x2019;s Q, panel data analysis, capital formation, fixed capital, cost of capital, investment behavior, Firm Behavior,

Private sector investment has been a key source of growth in Malaysia over the last three decades, but after an unprecedented decline in the wake of the Asian crisis it has remained sluggish in recent years. Using...

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the  World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy »

Source: Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Volume/Issue: 2012/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

ISBN: 9781475504187

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian econometrics, inflation, domestic demand, terms of trade, price inflation

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a...

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy »

Source: Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Volume/Issue: 2014/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2014

ISBN: 9781616355784

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, Bayesian econometrics, consumption, equilibrium, demand, Bayesian Analysis

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...