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United States

United States »

Source: United States : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2008/256

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451839722

Keywords: recession, recessions, regional recessions, overvaluation

This Selected Issues paper summarizes estimates of the gap between current housing prices and their equilibrium levels in the United States. It examines short-term dynamics of price adjustment. Reflecting uncertain...

L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques

L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2001

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758859.051

ISBN: 9781557758859

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2001

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759832.051

ISBN: 9781557759832

Keywords: Economic conditions, early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Andrew Berg , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 2001

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759849.051

ISBN: 9781557759849

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 February 2001

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759856.051

ISBN: 9781557759856

Keywords: Economic conditions, early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1 »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable?

Volume/Issue: 1997/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451857634

Keywords: exchange rate, overvaluation, real exchange rate, currency crises, nominal exchange rate

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expect...

Measuring Misalignment

Measuring Misalignment »

Source: Measuring Misalignment : Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s

Volume/Issue: 1999/120

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Menzie Chinn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1999

ISBN: 9781451854251

Keywords: exchange rate, purchasing power parity, overvaluation, cointegration, exchange rates, real exchange rates, real exchange rate

The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are...

Prévoir les crises économiques: un système d’alerte avancée

Prévoir les crises économiques: un système d’alerte avancée »

Source: L'art difficile de prévoir les crises économiques

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2001

Language: French

ISBN: 9781557758859

Keywords: early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions, real exchange rate overvaluation

L’intégration des marchés financiers mondiaux au cours de la décennie passée confronte les responsables publics à des difficultés nouvelles. La vitesse à laquelle l’argent peut se d...

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth? »

Source: What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

Volume/Issue: 2005/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , and Raghuram Rajan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861457

Keywords: Growth, Competitiveness, exchange rate, standard deviation, real exchange rate, exchange rate overvaluation, standard errors, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

We examine one of the most important and intriguing puzzles in economics: why it is so hard to find a robust effect of aid on the long-term growth of poor countries, even those with good policies. We look for a pos...

Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment1

Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment1 »

Source: Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment

Volume/Issue: 2009/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evridiki Tsounta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873825

Keywords: House prices, overvaluation, mortgage, mortgages, mortgage credit, mortgage debt, Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics: Housing Demand, Housing Supply and Markets,

Canadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of...