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Australia's Linkages with China: Prospects and Ramifications of China's Economic Transition

Australia's Linkages with China: Prospects and Ramifications of China's Economic Transition »

Source: Australia's Linkages with China: Prospects and Ramifications of China's Economic Transition

Volume/Issue: 2018/119

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2018

ISBN: 9781484357200

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Australia, Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium; open economy macoeconomics; small open economy; open economy simulation, Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, open economy macoeconomics, small open economy, open economy simulation, Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission

China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for Australian commodities (coal and iron ore) and services (tourism and education). These links a...

Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices

Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices »

Source: Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 2015/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Javier Gómez?Pineda , Dominique Guillaume , and Kadir Tanyeri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513552545

Keywords: Financial linkages, Global imbalances Commodity prices, output, country risk, trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Simulation,

The paper presents a global model with systemic and country risks, as well as commodity prices.We show that systemic risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts in world output g...

External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America*

External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America* »

Source: External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2013/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gustavo Adler , and Sebastian Sosa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475588835

Keywords: debt dynamics, debt ratios, Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Simulation, Deficit,

Highly favorable external conditions have helped Latin America strengthen its economic fundamentals over the last decade. But, has the region built enough buffers to guard itself from a weakening of the external en...

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia1

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia1 »

Source: Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia

Volume/Issue: 2015/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Knarik Ayvazyan , and Teresa Daban Sanchez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513590462

Keywords: Spillovers, Trade, Business cycles, Transmission channels, SVAR, economy, trading partners, regional shocks, oil prices, General

Using a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model, this paper examines the size, geographical sources, and transmission channels of global and regional shocks to the Armenian economy. Results show that Armenia...

Quantitative properties of sovereign default models

Quantitative properties of sovereign default models »

Source: Quantitative properties of sovereign default models : solution methods matter

Volume/Issue: 2010/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Leonardo Martinez , Horacio Sapriza , and Juan Carlos Hatchondo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

ISBN: 9781451982770

Keywords: Emerging economies, numerical methods, bond, bond price, computation, statistics, simulation results, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

We study the sovereign default model that has been used to account for the cyclical behavior of interest rates in emerging market economies. This model is often solved using the discrete state space technique with...

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa »

Source: Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa : Insights from the Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM)

Volume/Issue: 2015/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Derek Anderson , Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Paulo Drummond , Pedro Espaillat , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513557885

Keywords: macroeconomic interdepedence, trade, investment, exports, economy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics

What is the impact of economic spillovers from China on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)? This is an increasingly important question because of China's growing economic role as a partner of SSA countriesfor both trade and...

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt »

Source: Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt : Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2011/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , and Kenji Moriyama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455261376

Keywords: Small open economy model, transmission mechanism, exchange rate, interest rate, real interest, real interest rate, output gap, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

This paper estimates a small open economy model for Egypt to analyze inflation, output dynamics and monetary policy during 2005-2010. The interest rate channel is found to be relatively weak in Egypt, complicating...

Spillovers in the Nordic Countries

Spillovers in the Nordic Countries »

Source: Spillovers in the Nordic Countries

Volume/Issue: 2015/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Borislava Mircheva , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2015

ISBN: 9781475554106

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, Nordic countries, gdp, demand, consumption, real gdp, investment, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden form a tightly integrated region which has strong ties with the euro area as well as some exposure to Russia. Using the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF...

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM »

Source: The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM

Volume/Issue: 2015/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Patrick Blagrave , Pedro Espaillat , Keiko Honjo , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , René Lalonde , Douglas Laxton , Eleonara Mavroeidi , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

ISBN: 9781475518665

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, macroeconomic interdependence, consumption, investment, demand, trade, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structur...

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through »

Source: Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Volume/Issue: 2003/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benjamin Hunt , and Peter Isard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451844283

Keywords: Exchange Rate, Uncertainty, inflation, exchange rate pass, monetary policy rules, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through impli...