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On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks

On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks »

Source: On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks : The Role of Storage

Volume/Issue: 2012/270

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deren Unalmis , Ibrahim Unalmis , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475586367

Keywords: oil storage, oil price fluctuations, oil demand, oil supply shocks speculative oil demand, sticky-price DSGE model, inflation, price fluctuations, oil prices, nominal interest rate, oil demand and oil supply shocks speculative oil demand,

Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of...

China's Impacton World Commodity Markets

China's Impacton World Commodity Markets »

Source: China's Impacton World Commodity Markets

Volume/Issue: 2012/115

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503364

Keywords: Oil Price, Business Cycle Fluctuations, industrial production, inventories, inventory, non-oil commodity, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles, energy,

Shocks to aggregate activity in China have a significant and persistent short-run impact on the price of oil and some base metals. In contrast, shocks to apparent commodity-specific consumption (in part reflecting...

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department
			: Managing Transitions and Risks

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department : Managing Transitions and Risks »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498329996.086

ISBN: 9781498329996

Keywords: Latin America, Central America, Caribbean, Commodity price fluctuations, Currency exchange rates, Central banks, Exchange rate pass-through, Commodity prices, Exchange rate policy, Oil prices

The United States has seen an improvement in economic activity, driven by consumption, and has taken a first step toward gradual normalization of interest rates. The U.S. recovery continues to support activity in M...

On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations

On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations »

Source: On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations

Volume/Issue: 2009/285

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deren Unalmis , Ibrahim Unalmis , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2009

ISBN: 9781451874303

Keywords: Oil Price Fluctuations, Oil Demand and Oil Supply Shocks, Precautionary Demand Shock, Small Open Economy, DSGE Models, oil supply, oil demand, oil market, aggregate demand,

Analyzing macroeconomic impacts of oil price changes requires first to investigate different sources of these changes and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggreg...

Petroleum Product Subsidies

Petroleum Product Subsidies »

Source: Petroleum Product Subsidies : Costly, Inequitable, and On the Rise

Volume/Issue: 2010/05

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): John Piotrowski , David Coady , Justin Tyson , Rolando Ossowski , Robert Gillingham , and Shamsuddin Tareq

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455239108

Keywords: Commodity price fluctuations, Oil exporting countries, Oil product prices, Oil subsidies, Price stabilization, Fiscal reforms, Governance, Taxes, Subsidies, Petroleum products

Petroleum product subsidies have again started to increase with the rebound in international prices. This note reviews recent developments in subsidy levels and argues that reforming the policy framework for settin...

Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels

Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels »

Source: Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels : Modeling Sharp Movements in Oil Prices

Volume/Issue: 2010/186

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Malika Pant , Martin Mühleisen , and Alun Thomas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202201

Keywords: oil price, consumption demand, asset demand, speculation, oil prices, opec, oil imports, oil supply, crude oil, Prices

Global oil markets were roiled by sharp price swings in 2008, and economists are still divided over the reasons for the unusual volatility. Those emphasizing fundamentals point to inelastic supply and demand curves...

Fiscal Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa in Response to the Impact of the Global Crisis1

Fiscal Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa in Response to the Impact of the Global Crisis1 »

Source: Fiscal Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa in Response to the Impact of the Global Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2009/10

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): Shamsuddin Tareq , Andrew Berg , Victor Lledo , Antonio Spilimbergo , Rolando Ossowski , Irene Yackovlev , Norbert Funke , Alejandro Hajdenberg , and Martin Schindler

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 May 2009

ISBN: 9781462335404

Keywords: Emerging markets, Financial crisis, Cross country analysis, Commodities, Commodity price fluctuations, Developing countries, Infrastructure, Government expenditures, Fiscal policy, Social safety nets

...

1. Global Economy in Transition and the Outlook for the United States and Canada

1. Global Economy in Transition and the Outlook for the United States and Canada »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department : Managing Transitions and Risks

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2016

ISBN: 9781498329996

Keywords: Latin America, Central America, Caribbean, Commodity price fluctuations, Currency exchange rates, Central banks, Exchange rate pass-through, Commodity prices, Exchange rate policy, Oil prices

As the world economy undergoes key transitions, the pace of global activity has slowed amid higher financial market volatility. In advanced economies, a modest recovery continues, but unevenly....

2. Latin America and the Caribbean: Managing Transitions

2. Latin America and the Caribbean: Managing Transitions »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department : Managing Transitions and Risks

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2016

ISBN: 9781498329996

Keywords: Latin America, Central America, Caribbean, Commodity price fluctuations, Currency exchange rates, Central banks, Exchange rate pass-through, Commodity prices, Exchange rate policy, Oil prices

As the global recovery continues to struggle to gain its footing, growth in Latin America and the Caribbean is expected to be negative for the second consecutive year in 2016. The regional reces...

3. Understanding Corporate Vulnerabilities in Latin America

3. Understanding Corporate Vulnerabilities in Latin America »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department : Managing Transitions and Risks

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2016

ISBN: 9781498329996

Keywords: Latin America, Central America, Caribbean, Commodity price fluctuations, Currency exchange rates, Central banks, Exchange rate pass-through, Commodity prices, Exchange rate policy, Oil prices

Firms in Latin America are facing tighter financial market conditions at the global level amid lower potential growth and challenging macroeconomic adjustments at home. This chapter quantifies t...