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IEO Evaluation Report
			: IMF Financial Surveillance

IEO Evaluation Report : IMF Financial Surveillance »

Series: Independent Evaluation Office Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484393352.017

ISBN: 9781484393352

Keywords: Financial sector, Macroprudential policies and financial stability, Central banks, Financial risk, Stress testing, macrofinancial, financial stability, surveillance, FSAP, IMF

In response to the Global Financial Crisis, the IMF launched many initiatives to strengthen financial surveillance and better advise member countries of vulnerabilities and risks. While these initiatives have not y...

The Impact of Oil Prices on the Banking System in the GCC

The Impact of Oil Prices on the Banking System in the GCC »

Source: The Impact of Oil Prices on the Banking System in the GCC

Volume/Issue: 2016/161

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Padamja Khandelwal , Ken Miyajima , and Andre Santos

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 August 2016

ISBN: 9781475523393

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, nonperforming loans, panel vector autoregression

This paper examines the links between global oil price movements and macroeconomic and financial developments in the GCC. Using a range of multivariate panel approaches, including a panel vector autoregression appr...

A National Wealth Approach to Banking Crises and Financial Stability

A National Wealth Approach to Banking Crises and Financial Stability »

Source: A National Wealth Approach to Banking Crises and Financial Stability

Volume/Issue: 2016/128

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Frecaut

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498349154

Keywords: Banking sector distress, National accounts, Macro-financial analysis integration

The paper explores a different, supplementary way to assess and manage a particular type of banking crises, those arising from a rise of nonperforming loans to the corporate sector. It relies on a 'national wealth...

Three Cycles

Three Cycles »

Source: Three Cycles : Housing, Credit, and Real Activity

Volume/Issue: 2009/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa , Alain Kabundi , Deniz Igan , Francisco Nadal De Simone , and Marcelo Pinheiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873788

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, house prices, business cycle, lead, spillovers,

We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House pric...

Macrofinancial Linkages of the Strategic Asset Allocation of Commodity-Based Sovereign Wealth Funds

Macrofinancial Linkages of the Strategic Asset Allocation of Commodity-Based Sovereign Wealth Funds »

Source: Macrofinancial Linkages of the Strategic Asset Allocation of Commodity-Based Sovereign Wealth Funds

Volume/Issue: 2010/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aaron Howard Clifford Brown , Michael Papaioannou , and Iva Petrova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

ISBN: 9781451961904

Keywords: Macrofinancial Linkages, bonds, government bonds, correlation, covariance, standard deviation,

This paper analyses the links between the investment strategies of a commodity-based SWF and the macroeconomic framework of the owner country. We examine some basic macrofinancial linkages of an SWF's strategic ass...

Estimating Default Frequencies and Macrofinancial Linkages in the Mexican Banking Sector

Estimating Default Frequencies and Macrofinancial Linkages in the Mexican Banking Sector »

Source: Estimating Default Frequencies and Macrofinancial Linkages in the Mexican Banking Sector

Volume/Issue: 2009/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcos Souto , and Rodolphe Blavy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2009

ISBN: 9781451872569

Keywords: macrofinancial links, banking sector soundness, banking, banking risk, banking system,

The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated wi...

International Commodity Prices and Domestic Bank Lending in Developing Countries

International Commodity Prices and Domestic Bank Lending in Developing Countries »

Source: International Commodity Prices and Domestic Bank Lending in Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2017/279

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Isha Agrawal , Rupa Duttagupta , and Andrea Presbitero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2017

ISBN: 9781484333044

Keywords: Commodity prices, Developing countries, Bank lending; Commodity prices; Macro-financial linkages; Developing countries, Bank lending, Macro-financial linkages, General, International Lending and Debt Problems, Global Commodity Crises

We study the role of the bank-lending channel in propagating fluctuations in commodity prices to credit aggregates and economic activity in developing countries. We use data on more than 1,600 banks from 78 develop...

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective »

Source: Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2018/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Nico Valckx

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484349861

Keywords: Household debt; financial crises; neglected crash risk; leverage; macro-financial stability, Household debt, financial crises, neglected crash risk, leverage, macro-financial stability, Forecasting and Simulation, General

We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950-2016. Three mutually reinforcing mecha...

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk »

Source: The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

Volume/Issue: 2018/180

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tobias Adrian , Federico Grinberg , Nellie Liang , and Sheheryar Malik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 August 2018

ISBN: 9781484372364

Keywords: Financial stability, downside risk, macrofinancial linkages, volatility paradox, quantile regression, General, International Business Cycles

Using panel quantile regressions for 11 advanced and 10 emerging market economies, we show that the conditional distribution of GDP growth depends on financial conditions, with growth-at-risk (GaR)-defined as growt...

Banks in The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model

Banks in The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model »

Source: Banks in The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model

Volume/Issue: 2015/150

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Michael Kumhof , Douglas Laxton , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513532967

Keywords: Multi-Region DSGE Models, Financial Accelerator, Macro-Financial Linkages, banks, bank, capital, lending, interest, Other,

The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy and scenario analysis. This paper compares two versions of GIMF,...