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GEM
			: A New International Macroeconomic Model

GEM : A New International Macroeconomic Model »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , Hamid Faruqee , Douglas Laxton , Philippe Karam , Alessandro Rebucci , Jaewoo Lee , Benjamin Hunt , and Ivan Tchakarov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589063754.084

ISBN: 9781589063754

Keywords: Economic models, inflation, monetary policy, aggregate demand, monetary fund, oil prices

Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its pred...

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited »

Source: The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2008/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Harjes , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870299

Keywords: ECB, monetary analysis, monetary pillar, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, generalized dynamic factor model, inflation

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exc...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation

Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation »

Source: Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation

Volume/Issue: 2018/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Angel Garcia , and Aubrey Poon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 July 2018

ISBN: 9781484362402

Keywords: trend inflation, market-based inflation expectations, state space model, stochastic volatility, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models

This paper incorporates market-based inflation expectations to the growing literature on trend inflation estimation, and finds that there has been a significant decline in euro area trend inflation since 2013. This...

A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana

A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana »

Source: A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana

Volume/Issue: 2010/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kevin Clinton , Jihad Dagher , Ondrej Kamenik , Douglas Laxton , Ali Alichi , and Marshall Mills

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

ISBN: 9781451962444

Keywords: inflation, central bank, low inflation, Model Construction and Estimation

A model in which monetary policy pursues full-fledged inflation targeting adapts well to Ghana. Model features include: endogenous policy credibility; non-linearities in the inflation process; and a policy loss fun...

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices1

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices

Volume/Issue: 2008/280

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michel Juillard , Charles Freedman , Dmitry Korshunov , Douglas Laxton , Ondrej Kamenik , Ioan Carabenciov , Igor Ermolaev , and Jared Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871388

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, rate of inflation, equations,

This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studyin...

Philippines

Philippines »

Source: Philippines : Preparations for Inflation Targeting

Volume/Issue: 2001/99

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Piyabha Kongsamut

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

ISBN: 9781451852271

Keywords: inflation targeting, inflation modeling, inflation, inflation target, central bank, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation, Targeting,

The Philippines is planning to shift toward adoption of an inflation targeting framework in 2001. This paper reviews key policy issues in this context, describes various operational and technical preparations, and...

Money Demand in the Euro Area

Money Demand in the Euro Area »

Source: Money Demand in the Euro Area : Where Do We Stand (Today)?

Volume/Issue: 2002/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zenon Kontolemis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2002

ISBN: 9781451859423

Keywords: EMU, Taylor Rule, Cointegration, inflation, equation, equations, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models,

The paper reviews the stability of long-run money demand in the euro area in the light of recent revisions to M3 data. The analysis confirms the existence of a stable long-run money demand, although the estimated e...

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States »

Source: Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

Volume/Issue: 2015/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Alichi , Olivier Bizimana , Silvia Domit , Emilio Fernández Corugedo , Douglas Laxton , Kadir Tanyeri , Hou Wang , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513556222

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, inflation, unemployment, gdp, productivity, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

The estimates of potential output and the output gap presented in this paper are not official IMF estimates. The programs and potential output estimates in this paper can be downloaded from www.douglaslaxton.org.Th...

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2008/279

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jared Laxton , Igor Ermolaev , Charles Freedman , Ondrej Kamenik , Michel Juillard , Douglas Laxton , Ioan Carabenciov , and Dmitry Korshunov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871371

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, correlations, equations, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the second of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studyi...