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Impact of Intra-European Trade Agreements, 1990-2005

Impact of Intra-European Trade Agreements, 1990-2005 »

Source: Impact of Intra-European Trade Agreements, 1990-2005 : Policy Implications for the Western Balkans and Ukraine

Volume/Issue: 2007/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhaogang Qiao , and Johannes Herderschee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

ISBN: 9781451866902

Keywords: Gravity Model, Customs Union, Currency Union, customs, trade agreement,

The paper provides quantitative estimates of the impact of the European trade agreements on trade flows. It applies both static and dynamic panel estimation techniques. The results are useful to policymakers becaus...

The Missing Globalization Puzzle

The Missing Globalization Puzzle »

Source: The Missing Globalization Puzzle

Volume/Issue: 2002/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rikhil Bhavnani , Natalia Tamirisa , Arvind Subramanian , and David Coe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2002

ISBN: 9781451858518

Keywords: trade, gravity model, distance, bilateral trade, trade costs, equation, transport costs, international trade, Trade: General, Trade Gravity Model,

The failure of declining trade-related costs to be reflected in estimates of the standard gravity model of bilateral trade might be called the "missing globalization puzzle." This puzzle is most apparent in the est...

Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia

Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia »

Source: Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2007/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kazuko Shirono

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

ISBN: 9781451867305

Keywords: Currency Union, Gravity Model, exchange rate, bilateral trade, currency unions, trade costs, exchange rate policies,

Since the 1997 Asian currency crisis, new interest has emerged in the formation of a common currency area in East Asia. This paper provides estimates of trade and welfare effects of East Asian currency unions, usin...

Africa's Oil Abundance and External Competitiveness

Africa's Oil Abundance and External Competitiveness »

Source: Africa's Oil Abundance and External Competitiveness : Do Institutions Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2008/172

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mahvash Qureshi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870305

Keywords: oil abundance, competitiveness, institutions, gravity model, oil exports, export performance, export structure, world exports, oil exporters,

This paper examines the structural competitiveness of oil-rich economies in sub-Saharan Africa relative to other major oil-exporting developing countries, and investigates reasons for systematic differences in the...

Yen Bloc or Yuan Bloc

Yen Bloc or Yuan Bloc »

Source: Yen Bloc or Yuan Bloc : An Analysis of Currency Arrangements in East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2009/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kazuko Shirono

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2009

ISBN: 9781451871500

Keywords: Currency Union, Gravity Model, currency unions, trade effects, exchange rate, regional trade, bilateral trade,

This paper examines the role of Japan against that of China in the exchange rate regime in East Asia in light of growing interest in forming a currency union in the region. The analysis suggests that currency union...

Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model

Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model »

Source: Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model

Volume/Issue: 2011/230

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Huigang Chen , Alin Mirestean , and Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

ISBN: 9781463921309

Keywords: Bayesian Model Averaging, model uncertainty, dynamic panels, Generalized Method of Moments, gravity model, probability, probabilities, econometrics, equation, sample size

This paper extends the Bayesian Model Averaging framework to panel data models where the lagged dependent variable as well as endogenous variables appear as regressors. We propose a Limited Information Bayesian Mod...

Stylized Facts on Bilateral Trade and Currency Unions

Stylized Facts on Bilateral Trade and Currency Unions »

Source: Stylized Facts on Bilateral Trade and Currency Unions : Implications for Africa

Volume/Issue: 2006/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Hulej , Charalambos Tsangarides , and Pierre Ewenczyk

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2006

ISBN: 9781451862911

Keywords: Gravity model, Currency Union, samples, equation, free trade, statistics, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

This paper explores and quantifies several aspects of the performance of currency unions using an augmented version of the gravity model and focusing on two samples, the world and Africa. Our empirical findings sug...

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia »

Source: Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia

Volume/Issue: 2014/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alberto Behar , and Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2014

ISBN: 9781484380796

Keywords: Gravity model, Caucasus, oil exports, oil exporters, exporters, services exports, exporter, Trade Forecasting and Simulation, International Business Cycles,

This paper quantifies the effect of realized and potential global growth disappointments on export volumes from the Middle East, North Africa, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. Estimates of export elasticities with r...

Determinants of International Tourism1

Determinants of International Tourism1 »

Source: Determinants of International Tourism

Volume/Issue: 2014/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Culiuc

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 May 2014

ISBN: 9781484383032

Keywords: Gravity model, Real exchange rate, Small islands, tourist, tourists, tourist arrivals, tourism receipts, Country and Industry Studies of Trade,

The paper estimates the impact of macroeconomic supply- and demand-side determinants of tourism, one of the largest components of services exports globally, and the backbone of many smaller economies. It applies th...

Is the Middle East and North Africa Region Achieving Its Trade Potential?

Is the Middle East and North Africa Region Achieving Its Trade Potential? »

Source: Is the Middle East and North Africa Region Achieving Its Trade Potential?

Volume/Issue: 2005/90

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ludvig Söderling

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2005

ISBN: 9781451861099

Keywords: Middle East and North Africa, Association Agreement, trade potential, gravity model, export potential, export performance, bilateral trade, export potentials, export markets, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data,

This paper analyzes export performance in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) using a gravity model applied to panel data. It addresses two questions: (i) are there significant unexploited export markets for th...