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Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries

Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries »

Source: Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries

Volume/Issue: 2014/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vincent Belinga , Dora Benedek , Ruud A. Mooij , and John Norregaard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 June 2014

ISBN: 9781498305075

Keywords: Tax buoyancy, Error Correction Model, total tax revenue, tax revenues, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

By how much will faster economic growth boost government revenue? This paper estimates short- and long-run tax buoyancy in OECD countries between 1965 and 2012. We find that, for aggregate tax revenues, short-run t...

Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs

Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs »

Source: Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 2002/236

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mikhail Golosov , and John King

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451875690

Keywords: IMF-supported programs, tax revenue, tax ratio, tax ratios, forecast of tax revenues, Taxation and Subsidies: Other, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

Year-ahead forecasts of tax revenues incorporated into IMF programs for low-income countries, from 1993 to 1999, are compared with the corresponding outturns. The accuracy of these forecasts was low, with a mean ab...

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries? »

Source: How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?

Volume/Issue: 2005/66

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Mühleisen , Kornelia Krajnyak , Stephan Danninger , David Hauner , and Bennett Sutton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

ISBN: 9781451860856

Keywords: Budget Forecasting, Macroeconomic Projections, tax revenue, government expenditure, fiscal forecasts, fiscal forecasting, budget process, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Structure, Scope

This paper compares Canadian central government budget forecasting with forecasting by other industrial countries. While fiscal forecasting in Canada is governed by one of the strongest institutional frameworks, qu...

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel »

Source: How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel

Volume/Issue: 2017/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Dudine , and João Tovar Jalles

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475569797

Keywords: Tax elasticity, Tax systems, Time series, Tax revenues, Low-income developing countries, Developed countries, Business cycles, Emerging markets, Fiscal sustainability, Panel analysis

In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for 107 countries (distributed between advanced, emerging and low-income) for the period 1980-2014. By means of Fully-Modified OLS and (Pooled) Me...

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany »

Source: Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany : An Assessment Using the Global Fiscal Model

Volume/Issue: 2007/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dennis Botman , and Stephan Danninger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

ISBN: 9781451866100

Keywords: VAT, tax reform, spillover effects, global fiscal model, taxation, fiscal adjustment, tax base, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General

In 2005, the German government announced a far-reaching fiscal adjustment program. This paper uses the IMF’s Global Fiscal Model to study its impact and explores options for addressing long-term pressures fr...

Strategies for Fiscal Consolidation in Japan

Strategies for Fiscal Consolidation in Japan »

Source: Strategies for Fiscal Consolidation in Japan

Volume/Issue: 2007/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dennis Botman , Papa N'Diaye , and Hali Edison

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

ISBN: 9781451866018

Keywords: tax reform, spillover effects, GFM, taxation, consumption tax, government spending, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

Japan's key fiscal challenge is to put public finances on a more sustainable footing. This paper investigates the macroeconomic implications of alternative fiscal strategies for Japan using the IMF's Global Fiscal...

Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries

Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2014/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vincent Belinga , Dora Benedek , Ruud A. Mooij , and John Norregaard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 June 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498305075.001

ISBN: 9781498305075

Keywords: Tax buoyancy, Error Correction Model, total tax revenue, tax revenues, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

By how much will faster economic growth boost government revenue? This paper estimates short- and long-run tax buoyancy in OECD countries between 1965 and 2012. We find that, for aggregate tax revenues, short-run t...

Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs

Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs »

Volume/Issue: 2002/236

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mikhail Golosov , and John King

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875690.001

ISBN: 9781451875690

Keywords: IMF-supported programs, tax revenue, tax ratio, tax ratios, forecast of tax revenues, Taxation and Subsidies: Other, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

Year-ahead forecasts of tax revenues incorporated into IMF programs for low-income countries, from 1993 to 1999, are compared with the corresponding outturns. The accuracy of these forecasts was low, with a mean ab...

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?

How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries? »

Volume/Issue: 2005/66

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Mühleisen , Kornelia Krajnyak , Stephan Danninger , David Hauner , and Bennett Sutton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451860856.001

ISBN: 9781451860856

Keywords: Budget Forecasting, Macroeconomic Projections, tax revenue, government expenditure, fiscal forecasts, fiscal forecasting, budget process, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Structure, Scope

This paper compares Canadian central government budget forecasting with forecasting by other industrial countries. While fiscal forecasting in Canada is governed by one of the strongest institutional frameworks, qu...

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel »

Volume/Issue: 2017/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Dudine , and João Tovar Jalles

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 January 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475569797.001

ISBN: 9781475569797

Keywords: Tax elasticity, Tax systems, Time series, Tax revenues, Low-income developing countries, Developed countries, Business cycles, Emerging markets, Fiscal sustainability, Panel analysis

In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for 107 countries (distributed between advanced, emerging and low-income) for the period 1980-2014. By means of Fully-Modified OLS and (Pooled) Me...