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An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

The Missing Globalization Puzzle: Evidence of the Declining Importance of Distance

The Missing Globalization Puzzle: Evidence of the Declining Importance of Distance »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Labor Policies to Raise Employment

Labor Policies to Raise Employment »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Grants vs. Loans

Grants vs. Loans »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Kingdom of the Netherlands

Kingdom of the Netherlands »

Source: Kingdom of the Netherlands : Netherlands: Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2008/172

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 June 2008

ISBN: 9781451829594

Keywords: demand shock, forecast error, error variance, confidence intervals, transport equipment

Overall competitiveness of the Dutch economy seems adequate, but domestically produced exports have lost market share recently. Over the past three decades, globalization has greatly influenced economies as countri...

Kingdom of the Netherlands—Netherlands: Selected Issues

Kingdom of the Netherlands—Netherlands: Selected Issues »

Source: Kingdom of the Netherlands : Netherlands: Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2008/172

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 June 2008

ISBN: 9781451829594

Keywords: demand shock, forecast error, error variance, confidence intervals, transport equipment

Overall competitiveness of the Dutch economy seems adequate, but domestically produced exports have lost market share recently. Over the past three decades, globalization has greatly influenced economies as countri...

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation »

Source: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Volume/Issue: 2010/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201891

Keywords: Consensus Forecasts, Information Aggregation, Forecast Efficiency, efficiency, forecast horizons, forecast errors, forecast horizon, forecast error, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cro...