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A Framework for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerability1

A Framework for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerability1 »

Source: A Framework for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerability

Volume/Issue: 2000/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Murray Petrie , and Richard Hemming

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451847246

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Fiscal risk, sustainability, vulnerability, fiscal vulnerability, expenditure, fiscal position, fiscal outcomes

Fiscal vulnerability describes a situation where a government is exposed to the possibility of failure to meet its aggregate fiscal policy objectives. The suggested framework for assessing vulnerability highlights...

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices »

Source: Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Volume/Issue: 2015/15

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Aasim Husain , Rabah Arezki , Peter Breuer , Vikram Haksar , Thomas Helbling , Paulo Medas , and Martin Sommer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513532417

Keywords: Oil price, fuel taxes and subsidies, fiscal vulnerabilities, external vulnerabilities, exchange rate regime, oil, prices, price, oil prices, energy

The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the...

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity

Volume/Issue: 2003/79

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Theodore Barnhill , and George Kopits

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451850222

Keywords: Value-at-Risk analysis, vulnerability to crises, emerging markets, fiscal sustainability, probability, fiscal risk, fiscal vulnerability, Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Unlike conventional fiscal sustainability assessments, the Value-at-Risk approach developed in this paper explicitly captures the contribution of key risk variables to public sector vulnerability. In an illustrativ...

Measuring Fiscal Vulnerability and Fiscal Stress

Measuring Fiscal Vulnerability and Fiscal Stress »

Source: Measuring Fiscal Vulnerability and Fiscal Stress : A Proposed Set of Indicators

Volume/Issue: 2011/94

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): James McHugh , Iva Petrova , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455253333

Keywords: Fiscal vulnerability, fiscal stress, public debt, fiscal variables, National Deficit Surplus, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, General Outlook and Conditions,

This paper proposes a set of fiscal indicators to assess rollover risks using the conceptual framework developed by Cottarelli (2011). These indicators provide early warning signals about the manifestation of these...

Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government Finance in China

Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government Finance in China »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government Finance in China

Volume/Issue: 2014/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yuanyan Zhang , and Steven Barnett

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2014

ISBN: 9781484349953

Keywords: Fiscal Vulnerabilities, Fiscal Risks, Local Government Finance, Land Finance, Gross Financing Needs, fiscal deficit, fiscal debt, fiscal data, fiscal activity, General,

China weathered the global financial crisis better than most, thanks to a large and timely stimulus. This stimulus, however, was mainly in the form of off-budget infrastructure spending and thus not visible in the...

Senegal

Senegal »

Source: Senegal : Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper-Joint Staff Advisory Note

Volume/Issue: 2007/317

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451834048

Keywords: poverty reduction strategy, reduction strategy, vulnerable groups, poverty reduction strategy paper, fiscal deficit

This Joint Staff Advisory Note reviews Senegal's Second Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP-II), and provides advice on key priorities for strengthening the updated strategy and promoting its effective implement...

A toolkit for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks in Advanced Economies

A toolkit for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks in Advanced Economies »

Source: A toolkit for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks in Advanced Economies

Volume/Issue: 2012/11

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , Emre Alper , Jiri Jonas , Anke Weber , Marc Gerard , Tidiane Kinda , Giovanni Callegari , Anna Shabunina , Andrea Schaechter , and Carlos Caceres

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931162

Keywords: Fiscal vulnerabilities, fiscal risk, sustainability, debt, market, interest, monetary fund, policy responses, Structure and Scope of Government: General,

This paper presents a range of tools and indicators for analyzing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks for advanced economies. The analysis covers key short-, medium- and long-term dimensions. Short-term pressures are...

Managing Volatility - A Vulnerability Exercise for Low-Income Countries

Managing Volatility - A Vulnerability Exercise for Low-Income Countries »

Source: Managing Volatility - A Vulnerability Exercise for Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2011/081

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 October 2011

ISBN: 9781498339209

Keywords: Commodity price fluctuations, Economic models, External shocks, Fiscal risk, Low-income developing countries, Risk management, Spillovers, External sector, Fiscal sector, Economic integration

This paper, introduces the analytical framework for a Vulnerability Exercise for Low-Income Countries (VE-LIC). The envisaged exercise will strive to identify vulnerabilities and emerging risks that arise from chan...

Assessing Fiscal Stress

Assessing Fiscal Stress »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Stress

Volume/Issue: 2011/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gabriela Dobrescu , Iva Petrova , Nazim Belhocine , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455254316

Keywords: fiscal stress, fiscal vulnerability, public debt crises, sovereign default, public debt, fiscal indicators, fiscal crisis, fiscal variables, National Deficit Surplus, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of fiscal sustainability problems for advanced and emerging economies. Unlike previous studies, the index assesses the determinants of fiscal str...

Guidance Note on IMF Engagement on Social Safeguards in Low-Income Countries

Guidance Note on IMF Engagement on Social Safeguards in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Guidance Note on IMF Engagement on Social Safeguards in Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2018/036

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 July 2018

ISBN: 9781498310611

Keywords: Low income countries, Social protection, Social safety nets, Social indicators, Poverty reduction, Fiscal policy, Civil society, social safety net, vulnerable group, conditionality

This note provides operational guidance to staff on how to engage on social safeguard issues with low-income countries in both program and surveillance contexts. The note is not intended as a comprehensive guide, a...