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Toward a Robust Fiscal Framework for Iceland

Toward a Robust Fiscal Framework for Iceland »

Source: Toward a Robust Fiscal Framework for Iceland : Motivation and Practical Suggestions

Volume/Issue: 2007/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anthony Annett

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2007

ISBN: 9781451867992

Keywords: procyclicality, expenditure, total expenditure, fiscal rules, fiscal framework,

Expenditure in Iceland, especially related to the government wage bill, has tended to move in a procyclical manner, related to the fragmentation of political decision making. Iceland's elevated macroeconomic volati...

Can Statistical Capacity Building Help Reduce Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries?

Can Statistical Capacity Building Help Reduce Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries? »

Source: Can Statistical Capacity Building Help Reduce Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries?

Volume/Issue: 2016/209

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sampawende Tapsoba , Robert York , and Neree Noumon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475552003

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Procyclicality, Capacity building, Budget institutions, Developing countries

Few papers have attempted to assess the role of 'capacity,' especially in the area of macroeconomic statistics. Consequently, we make an attempt to advance this literature through the construction of a 'statistical...

Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area

Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area »

Source: Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2017/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud , Vitor Gaspar , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475572919

Keywords: Political economy, Euro Area, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, political economy factors, deficit bias, procyclicality, fiscal rules

This paper provides evidence of fiscal procyclicality, excessive deficits, distorted budget composition and poor compliance with fiscal rules in the euro area. Our analysis relies on real-time data for 19 countries...

Fiscal Cycles in the Caribbean

Fiscal Cycles in the Caribbean »

Source: Fiscal Cycles in the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2009/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2009

ISBN: 9781451873054

Keywords: Procyclicality, fiscal accounts, natural disasters, expenditure, government expenditure, fiscal balance, tax revenues, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The sharp increase in debt in the Caribbean since the mid-1990s has focused attention on the conduct of fiscal policy in the region. This paper aims to diagnose how fiscal policy has behaved during this period by l...

The Golden Rule and the Economic Cycles*

The Golden Rule and the Economic Cycles* »

Source: The Golden Rule and the Economic Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2007/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Keiko Honjo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2007

ISBN: 9781451867633

Keywords: Golden rule, fiscal rule, procyclical fiscal policy, economic cycle, macroeconomic stability, fiscal balance, fiscal performance, public finances,

The present formulation of the golden rule in the United Kingdom allows fiscal performance to be tested explicitly on an ex-post basis. However, it requires precise dating of the economic cycle, which can lead to s...

The Dynamic Effects of Commodity Prices on Fiscal Performance in Latin America

The Dynamic Effects of Commodity Prices on Fiscal Performance in Latin America »

Source: The Dynamic Effects of Commodity Prices on Fiscal Performance in Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2010/192

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Leandro Medina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202263

Keywords: procyclicality, fiscal positions, exporting countries, price fluctuations, National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General,

The recent boom and bust in commodity prices has raised concerns about the impact of volatile commodity prices on Latin American countries' fiscal positions. Using a novel quarterly data set-which includes unique c...

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility »

Source: Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Volume/Issue: 2019/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 March 2019

ISBN: 9781498302937

Keywords: Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, National budgets, Budgetary policy, Fiscal stimulus, procyclicality, structural budget balances, fiscal rules, output gap, countercyclical

This paper discusses the benefits and challenges of implementing a rule-based fiscal responsibility framework, using the Philippines as a case study. It estimates structural measures of the fiscal stance over the p...

Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance

Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance »

Source: Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance

Volume/Issue: 2005/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Kumah , and John Matovu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2005

ISBN: 9781451861907

Keywords: structural VAR, pro-cyclical fiscal policy, expenditure, fiscal performance, expenditures, fiscal aggregates, Econometric Modeling: General, General Outlook and Conditions, Strucral VAR,

Unanticipated changes in commodity prices can generate significant movements in fiscal aggregates. This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of these fiscal movements in the context of transitory commodity price...

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries »

Source: Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Volume/Issue: 2016/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elva Bova , Paulo Medas , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 February 2016

ISBN: 9781475596465

Keywords: resource-rich countries, procyclical fiscal policy, commodity, prices, price, fiscal policy, General, Models with Panel Data, All Countries,, Natural resources

Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal p...

Procyclical Fiscal Policy

Procyclical Fiscal Policy »

Source: Procyclical Fiscal Policy : Shocks, Rules, and Institutions: A View From Mars

Volume/Issue: 2006/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Manasse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2006

ISBN: 9781451862874

Keywords: procyclicality, institutions, linear model, fiscal rule, parameter estimate, National Deficit Surplus, Neural Networks and Related Topics, Positive Analysis of Policy-Making and Implementation,

This paper assesses the roles of shocks, rules, and institutions as possible sources of procyclicality in fiscal policy. By employing parametric and nonparametric techniques, I reach the following four main conclus...