Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 137 items

  • Keyword: fiscal forecasts x
Clear All Modify Search
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014
			: Staying the Course

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014 : Staying the Course »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498386456.086

ISBN: 9781498386456

Keywords: Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Cross country analysis, Private investment, Regional Economic Outlook, Public debt, Public investment, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Infrastructure

Growth in much of Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to remain strong, driven by efforts to invest in infrastructure and strong agricultural production. The current Ebola outbreak in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone i...

Strengthening Post-Crisis Fiscal Credibility: Fiscal Councils on the Rise — A New Dataset

Strengthening Post-Crisis Fiscal Credibility: Fiscal Councils on the Rise — A New Dataset »

Source: Strengthening Post-Crisis Fiscal Credibility : Fiscal Councils on the Rise - A New Dataset

Volume/Issue: 2014/58

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Xavier Debrun , and Tidiane Kinda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781475516135

Keywords: Credibility of fiscal policy, fiscal councils, forecast errors, fiscal council, fiscal institutions,

Institutions aimed at constraining policy discretion to promote sound fiscal policies are once again at the forefront of the policy debate. Interest in 'fiscal councils,' independent watchdogs active in the public...

Growth Forecast Errors and  Fiscal Multipliers

Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers »

Source: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Volume/Issue: 2013/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , and Daniel Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475576443

Keywords: government expenditure, output fluctuations, fiscal consolidation, fiscal multipliers, growth forecast, fiscal balance, General, General, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits

This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated...

Implementation Plan in Response to the Board-Endorsed Recommendations for the IEO Evaluation of IMF Forecasts - Process, Quality, and Country Perspective

Implementation Plan in Response to the Board-Endorsed Recommendations for the IEO Evaluation of IMF Forecasts - Process, Quality, and Country Perspective »

Source: Implementation Plan in Response to the Board-Endorsed Recommendations for the IEO Evaluation of IMF Forecasts - Process, Quality, and Country Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2015/052

Series: Policy Papers

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 September 2015

ISBN: 9781498344203

Keywords: Current account balances, Data processing, Human capital, Fiscal policy, Forecasting models, WEO, IEO, forecast error, forecast, medium-term

This paper sets out Management's response to the Independent Evaluation Office's (IEO) evaluation of IMF Forecasts: Process, Quality, and Country Perspectives. The implementation plan proposes specific actions to a...

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets »

Source: Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets

Volume/Issue: 2005/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stephan Danninger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2005

ISBN: 9781451860337

Keywords: Revenue forecast, tax administration, fiscal authority, revenue forecasting, budget preparation process, Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue,

Budget revenue forecasts should be best estimates of expected receipts. Often they are not. This paper analyzes the rationale for overstated revenue forecasts and derives conditions for intentional biases. A theore...

The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean1

The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean1 »

Source: The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2012/276

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charles Amo Yartey , Machiko Narita , Garth Peron Nicholls , and Joel Chiedu Okwuokei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2012

ISBN: 9781557754967

Keywords: public debt, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal performance, fiscal adjustment, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

This paper examines debt dynamics in the Caribbean and discusses policy options for reducing the high debt levels. Based on empirical studies of factors underlying global large debt reduction episodes, important po...

Ireland: Selected Issues

Ireland: Selected Issues »

Source: Ireland : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2005/370

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 October 2005

ISBN: 9781451818826

Keywords: budget, interest, fiscal balance, revenue forecast, department of finance

This Selected Issues paper for Ireland highlights that fiscal consolidation resulted in a tremendous reduction in public debt from nearly 100 percent of GDP in 1991 to about 30 percent in 2004. This has reflected a...

Ireland: Selected Issues

Ireland: Selected Issues »

Source: Ireland : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2005/370

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 October 2005

ISBN: 9781451818826

Keywords: budget, interest, fiscal balance, revenue forecast, department of finance

This Selected Issues paper for Ireland highlights that fiscal consolidation resulted in a tremendous reduction in public debt from nearly 100 percent of GDP in 1991 to about 30 percent in 2004. This has reflected a...

Ireland: Selected Issues

Ireland: Selected Issues »

Source: Ireland : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2005/370

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 October 2005

ISBN: 9781451818826

Keywords: budget, interest, fiscal balance, revenue forecast, department of finance

This Selected Issues paper for Ireland highlights that fiscal consolidation resulted in a tremendous reduction in public debt from nearly 100 percent of GDP in 1991 to about 30 percent in 2004. This has reflected a...

Forecasts in Times of Crises*

Forecasts in Times of Crises* »

Source: Forecasts in Times of Crises

Volume/Issue: 2018/48

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Theo Eicher , David Kuenzel , Chris Papageorgiou , and Charis Christofides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 March 2018

ISBN: 9781484345436

Keywords: Financial crises, Forecasting, IMF Programs, Economic forecasting, Gross domestic product, Balance of payments, GDP Growth, Financial Accounts, Fiscal Accounts, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in...