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How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America »

Source: How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2017/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Brandao-Marques , and Esther Perez Ruiz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

ISBN: 9781484325506

Keywords: Financial conditions indexes, TVP-FAVAR, financial spillovers, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General

This paper develops comparable financial conditions indices (FCIs) for the six large and most financially-integrated Latin American economies (LA6) by following Korobilis (2013) and Koop and Korobilis (2014). The m...

Reversing the Financial Accelerator

Reversing the Financial Accelerator »

Source: Reversing the Financial Accelerator : Credit Conditions and Macro-Financial Linkages

Volume/Issue: 2011/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455216734

Keywords: Financial conditions index, credit conditions, survey, statistics, inflation, Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

This paper examines the role of credit markets in the transmission of U.S. macro-financial shocks through the prism of a financial conditions index (FCI) based on a vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. It explo...

A U.S. Financial Conditions Index

A U.S. Financial Conditions Index »

Source: A U.S. Financial Conditions Index : Putting Credit Where Credit is Due

Volume/Issue: 2008/161

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Swiston

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2008

ISBN: 9781451870190

Keywords: Financial conditions index, credit channel, macro-financial linkages, standards, inflation, long-term interest rates, monetary fund,

This paper uses vector autoregressions and impulse-response functions to construct a U.S. financial conditions index (FCI). Credit availability—proxied by survey results on lending standards—is an imp...

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for Poland

Volume/Issue: 2013/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Giang Ho , and Yinqiu Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

ISBN: 9781475540642

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, vector auto-regression, gdp growth, bond, bond yield, government bond yield, government bond, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor an...

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

Volume/Issue: 2012/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nombulelo Gumata , Eliphas Ndou , and Nir Klein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505450

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, gdp growth, explanatory power, granger causality, standard deviation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis extracts the index by applying two alternative approaches (principal component analysis and Kalman fi...

Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France1

Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France1 »

Source: Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France

Volume/Issue: 2017/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Piyabha Kongsamut , Christian Mumssen , Anne-Charlotte Paret , and Thierry Tressel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2017

ISBN: 9781484330968

Keywords: Europe, France, Forecasting, financial conditions index, macro-financial linkages, vector auto-regression, refers to exports volume of goods, General, Forecasting and Simulation

How can information on financial conditions be used to better understand macroeconomic developments and improve macroeconomic projections? We investigate this question for France by constructing country-specific fi...

Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles »

Source: Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

Volume/Issue: 2019/184

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nina Biljanovska , Lucyna Gornicka , and Alexandros Vardoulakis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 August 2019

ISBN: 9781513511078

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Demand, Economic stabilization, Price indexes, Collateral constraints, rational bubbles, macroprudential regulation, optimal policy, WP

An asset bubble relaxes collateral constraints and increases borrowing by credit-constrained agents. At the same time, as the bubble deflates when constraints start binding, it amplifies downturns. We show analytic...

Financial and Business Cycles in Brazil1

Financial and Business Cycles in Brazil1 »

Source: Financial and Business Cycles in Brazil

Volume/Issue: 2017/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ivo Krznar , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475571042

Keywords: Western Hemisphere, Econometric models, Public sector, Private sector, Financial risk, Brazil, Business cycles, Credit expansion, Procyclicality of financial system, Parameter estimation

This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a variety of commonly-used statistical methods and with a small, semistructural model of the Brazil...

Asia-Pacific Regional Outlook

Asia-Pacific Regional Outlook »

Source: Asia-Pacific Regional Outlook

Volume/Issue: 2005/075

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2005

ISBN: 9781498330961

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Current account, Economic conditions, Economic growth, Exchange rates, Economic integration, Financial statistics, Price indexes, Financial crises, WEO

Looking ahead, prospects are relatively bright. Regional growth is expected to amount to 6 percent both this year and next, propelled by vigorous exports and strong domestic demand in China and India. Meanwhile, he...

IMF Policy Paper: Selected Issues

IMF Policy Paper: Selected Issues »

Source: Namibia : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2016/374

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 December 2016

ISBN: 9781475559088

Keywords: Economic growth, Fiscal consolidation, Nonbank financial sector, Banks, Employment, Fiscal reforms, Selected Issues Papers, Namibia, Financial crises, Economic conditions

This Selected Issues paper assesses the impact of alternative fiscal consolidation strategies on Namibia's growth. It uses a model developed at the IMF to gain insights on what would be a growth-friendly compositi...