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In Search of Successful Inflation Targeting

In Search of Successful Inflation Targeting »

Source: In Search of Successful Inflation Targeting : Evidence From An Inflation Targeting Index

Volume/Issue: 2009/148

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yanliang Miao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2009

ISBN: 9781451872958

Keywords: Flexibility, Factor Analysis, central bank, price stability,

In a first attempt to treat inflation targeting (IT) as a continuous variable, we construct IT subindices for 21 full-fledged ITers on three dimensions: flexibility, transparency, and explicitness. Comparing flexib...

The Comovement in Commodity Prices

The Comovement in Commodity Prices »

Source: The Comovement in Commodity Prices : Sources and Implications

Volume/Issue: 2013/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ron Alquist , and Olivier Coibion

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 June 2013

ISBN: 9781484378144

Keywords: comovement, factor models, factor analysis, global production, agricultural commodities, idiosyncratic shocks, International Business Cycles, comovement: factor models,

We present a simple macroeconomic model with a continuum of primary commodities used in the production of the final good, such that the real prices of commodities have a factor structure. One factor captures the co...

Factor Model for Stress-testing with a Contingent Claims Model of the Chilean Banking System

Factor Model for Stress-testing with a Contingent Claims Model of the Chilean Banking System »

Source: Factor Model for Stress-testing with a Contingent Claims Model of the Chilean Banking System

Volume/Issue: 2008/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dale Gray , and James Walsh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

ISBN: 9781451869507

Keywords: contingent claims analysis, factor model, VAR, probability, banking, probabilities, probability of default, correlation,

This paper derives risk indicators for the major Chilean banks based on contingent claims analysis, an extension of Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing theory. These risk indicators are clearly tied to macroeconomi...

Revisiting the Determinants of Productivity Growth - What's new?

Revisiting the Determinants of Productivity Growth - What's new? »

Source: Revisiting the Determinants of Productivity Growth - What's new?

Volume/Issue: 2009/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Boileau Loko , and Mame Astou Diouf

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873726

Keywords: Productivity growth, female labour participation, principal components analysis, dynamic panel regression, tfp, real gdp, total factor productivity,

This paper studies the main determinants of total factor productivity (TFP) growth using principal component analysis and a dynamic panel data model and, through a case study, explores key areas where accelerated r...

Pace and Sequencing of Economic Policies

Pace and Sequencing of Economic Policies »

Source: Pace and Sequencing of Economic Policies

Volume/Issue: 2005/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861372

Keywords: Growth, factor analysis, equation, correlation, trade liberalization, standard error, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Development Planning and Policy: Other, Economywide Country Studies: General,

This paper examines the design of economic policies using factor analysis, which has several advantages; in particular, it limits the problems that typically arise from the high correlation of economic policy indic...

How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy

How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy »

Source: How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy : Nowcasting an Emerging Market

Volume/Issue: 2015/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhat Solmaz , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513598987

Keywords: Nowcasting, Bayesian estimation, VAR, Emerging Market, economy, domestic economy, risk, economies, external factors, Bayesian Analysis

External headwinds, together with domestic vulnerabilities, have loomed over the prospects of emerging markets in recent years. We propose an empirical toolbox to quantify the impact of external macro-financial sho...

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for Poland

Volume/Issue: 2013/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Giang Ho , and Yinqiu Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

ISBN: 9781475540642

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, vector auto-regression, gdp growth, bond, bond yield, government bond yield, government bond, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor an...

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

Volume/Issue: 2012/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nombulelo Gumata , Eliphas Ndou , and Nir Klein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505450

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, gdp growth, explanatory power, granger causality, standard deviation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis extracts the index by applying two alternative approaches (principal component analysis and Kalman fi...

Assessing Countries’ Financial Inclusion Standing - A New Composite Index

Assessing Countries’ Financial Inclusion Standing - A New Composite Index »

Source: Assessing Countries' Financial Inclusion Standing - A New Composite Index

Volume/Issue: 2014/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Goran Amidži? , Alexander Massara , and André Mialou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2014

ISBN: 9781475569681

Keywords: Financial inclusion, access and usage of financial services, factor analysis, index, banking, microfinance, Index Numbers and Aggregation, Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data

This paper leverages the IMF's Financial Access Survey (FAS) database to construct a new composite index of financial inclusion. The topic of financial inclusion has gathered significant attention in recent years....

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited »

Source: The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2008/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Harjes , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870299

Keywords: ECB, monetary analysis, monetary pillar, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, generalized dynamic factor model, inflation

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exc...