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Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies*

Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies* »

Source: Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Volume/Issue: 2019/129

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss , Malhar Nabar , and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 June 2019

ISBN: 9781498314435

Keywords: Economic integration, Flexible exchange rates, Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rate stability, Real exchange rates, Economic Growth, Emerging Markets, Developing Economies, External Conditions, external condition

External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic po...

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance »

Source: Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Volume/Issue: 2019/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Selim Elekdag , Phakawa Jeasakul , Romain Lafarguette , Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484397015

Keywords: Interest rates on loans, Economic growth, Economic recovery, External sector, Real interest rates, downside risk;macrofinancial linkages;financial stability;Gar;financial condition;forecast horizon;article IV consultation;quantiles

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast...

Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Domestic Amplifiers of External Shocks: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2019/129

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss , Malhar Nabar , and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 June 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498314435.001

ISBN: 9781498314435

Keywords: Economic integration, Flexible exchange rates, Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rate stability, Real exchange rates, Economic Growth, Emerging Markets, Developing Economies, External Conditions, external condition

External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic po...

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance »

Volume/Issue: 2019/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Selim Elekdag , Phakawa Jeasakul , Romain Lafarguette , Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484397015.001

ISBN: 9781484397015

Keywords: Interest rates on loans, Economic growth, Economic recovery, External sector, Real interest rates, downside risk;macrofinancial linkages;financial stability;Gar;financial condition;forecast horizon;article IV consultation;quantiles

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast...