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How Long Do Housing Cycles Last? a Duration Analysis for 19 OECD Countries

How Long Do Housing Cycles Last? a Duration Analysis for 19 OECD Countries »

Source: How Long Do Housing Cycles Last? a Duration Analysis for 19 OECD Countries

Volume/Issue: 2011/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Bracke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

ISBN: 9781463921316

Keywords: Housing Cycles, House Prices, Duration Dependence, dependence, equation, probability, statistics, descriptive statistics, Duration Analysis,

This paper analyzes the duration of house price upturns and downturns in the last 40 years for 19 OECD countries. I provide two sets of results, one pertaining to the average length and the other to the length dist...

The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks

The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks »

Source: The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks : Evidence from Existing Federations

Volume/Issue: 2016/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tigran Poghosyan , Abdelhak Senhadji , and Carlo Cottarelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498379601

Keywords: public debt cycles, credit cycles, asset price cycles, duration analysis

We assess the extent to which fiscal transfers smooth regional shocks in three large federations: the U.S., Canada, and Australia. We find that fiscal transfers offset 4-11 percent of idiosyncratic shocks (risk-sha...

On the Speed of Transition in Central and Eastern Europe

On the Speed of Transition in Central and Eastern Europe »

Source: On the Speed of Transition in Central and Eastern Europe : Does On-the-Job Search Matter?

Volume/Issue: 1997/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zuzana Brixiova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1997

ISBN: 9781451948417

Keywords: on-the-job search, employment, job search, unemployed, unemployment duration

This paper examines how the on-the-job search of workers in the state sector who are seeking jobs in the private sector affects private sector employment, the unemployment level, and the unemployment duration in th...

Reforming Employment Protection Legislation in France

Reforming Employment Protection Legislation in France »

Source: Reforming Employment Protection Legislation in France

Volume/Issue: 2006/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jianping Zhou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2006

ISBN: 9781451863680

Keywords: Fixed-duration contracts, Employment protection, Search-matching model, labor market, jobs, unemployed, Labor Contracts, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence

Over the last 15 years, the reforms of employment protection legislation (EPL) in European countries have mainly eased hiring and firing restrictions for temporary employment while leaving the strict EPL provisions...

The German Labor Market Reforms and Post-Unemployment Earnings

The German Labor Market Reforms and Post-Unemployment Earnings »

Source: The German Labor Market Reforms and Post-Unemployment Earnings

Volume/Issue: 2015/162

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Niklas Engbom , Enrica Detragiache , and Faezeh Raei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513531250

Keywords: labor market, workers, labor, unemployment benefits, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search, Germany.,

In 2003-05, Germany undertook extensive labor market reforms which were followed by a large and persistent decline in unemployment. Key elements of the reforms were a drastic cut in benefits for the long-term unemp...

Unemployment and Structural Unemployment in the Baltics1

Unemployment and Structural Unemployment in the Baltics1 »

Source: Unemployment and Structural Unemployment in the Baltics

Volume/Issue: 2014/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Ebeke , and Greetje Everaert

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 August 2014

ISBN: 9781498317207

Keywords: Structural Unemployment, unemployment rate, nairu, beveridge, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search, Public Policy,

While the unemployment rate in the Baltics has fallen sharply from its crisis-peaks, it remains close to double digits. This paper estimates the structural component of the jobless rate in the three Baltic countrie...

Speculative Attacks in the Asian Crisis

Speculative Attacks in the Asian Crisis »

Source: Speculative Attacks in the Asian Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2001/189

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhiwei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

ISBN: 9781451859614

Keywords: ACH, currency crisis, duration analysis, contagion, speculative attacks, asian crisis, currency crises, equation, Econometric Modeling,

This paper takes the Asian crisis as an example to show that the Autoregressive Conditional Hazard (ACH) model is a powerful tool for studying the time series features of speculative attacks. The ACH model proposes...

New Evidenceon Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment

New Evidenceon Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment »

Source: New Evidenceon Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment

Volume/Issue: 2011/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jinzhu Chen , Bharat Trehan , Prakash Kannan , and Prakash Loungani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455260416

Keywords: structural unemployment, uncertainty, unemployment rate, unemployment rates, high unemployment, unemployment duration,

We provide cross-country evidence on the relative importance of cyclical and structural factors in explaining unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007...

The Duration of Capital Account Crises-An Empirical Analysis

The Duration of Capital Account Crises-An Empirical Analysis »

Source: The Duration of Capital Account Crises-An Empirical Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2007/258

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): David Hofman , Ruben Atoyan , Dimitri Tzanninis , and Mauro Mecagni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2007

ISBN: 9781451868210

Keywords: Capital account crises, duration, crises identification, capital outflows, capital flows, current account,

This paper examines the duration of capital account crises. We develop a new index to identify both the start and the end of these crises. Applying the index to a sample of 18 crisis episodes, we derive stylized fa...

Wage Compression, Employment Restrictions and Unemployment

Wage Compression, Employment Restrictions and Unemployment »

Source: Wage Compression, Employment Restrictions and Unemployment : The Case of Mauritius

Volume/Issue: 2004/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

ISBN: 9781451874587

Keywords: Labor Market Restrictions, labor market, jobs, job creation, employment, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search,

Governments often intervene in labor markets with the aim of reducing inequality and promoting employment. Such intervention often results in wage compression and restrictions on how firms use their workers. This p...