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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484375396.086

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen. Growth is expected to increase from 2.7 percent in 2017 to 3.1 percent in 2018, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive exte...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484376874.086

ISBN: 9781484376874

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Sub-Saharan Africa, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen. Growth is expected to increase from 2.7 percent in 2017 to 3.1 percent in 2018, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive exte...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 December 2018

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484380505.086

ISBN: 9781484380505

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen with higher growth, easing inflation, and stabilizing public debt ratios with some countries improving their fiscal balances. But there are c...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 December 2018

Language: Portuguese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484380529.086

ISBN: 9781484380529

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen with higher growth, easing inflation, and stabilizing public debt ratios with some countries improving their fiscal balances. But there are c...

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry1

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry1 »

Source: Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry

Volume/Issue: 2012/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Germán López-Espinosa , Antonio Rubia , Laura Valderrama , and Antonio Moreno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

ISBN: 9781475504347

Keywords: Value at Risk, systemic risk, tail-risk dependence, downside risk, financial system, statistics, bond, financial institutions, probability

To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called Co...

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk »

Source: The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

Volume/Issue: 2018/180

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tobias Adrian , Federico Grinberg , Nellie Liang , and Sheheryar Malik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 August 2018

ISBN: 9781484372364

Keywords: Financial stability, downside risk, macrofinancial linkages, volatility paradox, quantile regression, General, International Business Cycles

Using panel quantile regressions for 11 advanced and 10 emerging market economies, we show that the conditional distribution of GDP growth depends on financial conditions, with growth-at-risk (GaR)-defined as growt...

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance »

Source: Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Volume/Issue: 2019/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Selim Elekdag , Phakawa Jeasakul , Romain Lafarguette , Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484397015

Keywords: Interest rates on loans, Economic growth, Economic recovery, External sector, Real interest rates, downside risk;macrofinancial linkages;financial stability;Gar;financial condition;forecast horizon;article IV consultation;quantiles

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast...

Statistical Appendix

Statistical Appendix »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

Unless otherwise noted, data and projections presented in this Regional Economic Outlook are IMF staff estimates as of September 20, 2018, consistent with the projections underlying the October 2018 World Ec...

1. Recovery and Rising Risks

1. Recovery and Rising Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

Macroeconomic outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa continue to strengthen, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive external environment, including continued steady growth in the global economy, hig...

2. Capital Flows to Sub-Saharan Africa: Causes and Consequences

2. Capital Flows to Sub-Saharan Africa: Causes and Consequences »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, there has been a spectacular increase in nonofficial cross-border capital flows to sub-Saharan Africa. 1 With official development...