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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
			: The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758286.084

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption t...

Sources of Contagion

Sources of Contagion »

Source: Sources of Contagion : Finance or Trade?

Volume/Issue: 1999/146

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451856620

Keywords: Contagion, currency crisis, financial spillovers, competition, financial contagion

This paper presents evidence that spillovers through bank lending, as opposed to trade linkages and country characteristics, can help explain contagion. We construct a measure of competition for bank funds and find...

The East Asian Crisis

The East Asian Crisis »

Source: The East Asian Crisis : Macroeconomic Developments and Policy Lessons

Volume/Issue: 1998/128

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kalpana Kochhar , Prakash Loungani , and Mark Stone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451935547

Keywords: crisis countries, exchange rate, asian crisis, exchange rates, contagion

This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak pr...

A Simple Model of An International Lender of Last Resort

A Simple Model of An International Lender of Last Resort »

Source: A Simple Model of An International Lender of Last Resort

Volume/Issue: 2000/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Haizhou Huang , and C. Goodhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2000

ISBN: 9781451849721

Keywords: International lender of last resort, banking crisis, currency crisis, interbank market, banking, contagion, financial contagion

This paper develops a simple model of an international lender of last resort (ILOLR). The world economy consists of many open economies, each with a banking system and a central bank operating under a pegged exchan...

Crises, Contagion, and the Closed

Crises, Contagion, and the Closed »

Source: Crises, Contagion, and the Closed : End Country Fund Puzzle

Volume/Issue: 1998/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Levy Yeyati , and Angel Ubide

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451856316

Keywords: Country Funds, Contagion, Financial Crisis, investors, asian crisis, foreign investors, crisis countries

This paper analyzes the behavior of closed-end country fund discounts, including evidence from the Mexican and East Asian crises. We find that the ratio of fund prices to their fundamental value increases dramatica...

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion »

Source: The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

Volume/Issue: 2009/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Kannan , and Fritzi Köhler-Geib

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873665

Keywords: investors, contagion, crisis country, rate of return, currency crises

The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new ch...

Contagion

Contagion »

Source: Contagion : Monsoonal Effects, Spillovers, and Jumps Between Multiple Equilibria

Volume/Issue: 1998/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Masson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451856224

Keywords: contagion, spillovers, multiple equilibria, currency crises, debt crisis, competitiveness

Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that only models that admit of multiple equilibria are capable of producing true contagion. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrat...

Transmission of the Great Recession from Advanced to Emerging Economies

Transmission of the Great Recession from Advanced to Emerging Economies »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455243143

Keywords: paper, pre-crisis, recession, credit boom, financial contagion

This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008-09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated rec...

Sovereign Debt and Default

Sovereign Debt and Default »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455243143

Keywords: paper, pre-crisis, recession, credit boom, financial contagion

This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008-09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated rec...

IMF Economic Review

IMF Economic Review »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455243143

Keywords: paper, pre-crisis, recession, credit boom, financial contagion

This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008-09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated rec...