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Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets »

Source: Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets : How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?

Volume/Issue: 1996/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anthony Richards

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1996

ISBN: 9781451844757

Keywords: emerging markets, predictability, autocorrelation, cointegration, standard deviation

This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been n...

Natural Resource Endowments, Governance, and the Domestic Revenue Effort

Natural Resource Endowments, Governance, and the Domestic Revenue Effort »

Source: Natural Resource Endowments, Governance, and the Domestic Revenue Effort : Evidence from a Panel of Countries

Volume/Issue: 2008/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , Fabian Bornhorst , and Sanjeev Gupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870282

Keywords: hydrocarbon revenues, domestic revenue effort, government revenue, equation, statistics, autocorrelation,

The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates governance problems...

Imperfect Information and Saving in a Small Open Economy

Imperfect Information and Saving in a Small Open Economy »

Source: Imperfect Information and Saving in a Small Open Economy

Volume/Issue: 2011/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Agustin Roitman , and Christian Daude

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

ISBN: 9781455221042

Keywords: saving, uncertainty, Bayesian learning, Markov switching, autocorrelation, stochastic process, correlation, probabilities, statistics, Asymmetric and Private Information,

Emerging markets are more volatile and face different types of shocks, in size and nature, compared to their developed counterparts. Accurate identification of the stochastic properties of shocks is difficult. We s...

Testing for Structural Breaks in Small Samples

Testing for Structural Breaks in Small Samples »

Source: Testing for Structural Breaks in Small Samples

Volume/Issue: 2008/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sergei Antoshin , Andrew Berg , and Marcos Souto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2008

ISBN: 9781451869378

Keywords: Structural breaks, small samples, Monte Carlo simulation, time series, correlation, statistic, autocorrelation,

In a recent paper, Bai and Perron (2006) demonstrate that their approach for testing for multiple structural breaks in time series works well in large samples, but they found substantial deviations in both the size...

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions »

Source: The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

Volume/Issue: 2010/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , and Inci Ötker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201365

Keywords: Large Complex Financial Institutions, dynamic panel data, CAMELS, vulnerability analysis, bond, autocorrelation, corporate bond, statistics, standard errors, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation

This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly d...

Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies

Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2001/191

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Perrelli , and Christian Mulder

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2001

ISBN: 9781451859713

Keywords: foreign currency credit ratings, economic crises., statistics, autocorrelation, equation, short-term debt, covariance, International Lending and Debt Problems, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, Economic Crises,

This paper examines how ratings for emerging market economies have been set. Given the high degree of autocorrelation in ratings, we use estimators that yield consistent parameters in the presence of such correlati...

What (Really) Accounts for the Fall in Hours After a Technology Shock?

What (Really) Accounts for the Fall in Hours After a Technology Shock? »

Source: What (Really) Accounts for the Fall in Hours After a Technology Shock?

Volume/Issue: 2012/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nooman Rebei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505610

Keywords: Firm entry and exit, Habit in consumption, Labor market frictions, Permanent technology shocks, Leontief production, Bayesian estimation., wages, wage, autocorrelation, standard deviation

The paper asks how state of the art DSGE models that account for the conditional response of hours following a positive neutral technology shock compare in a marginal likelihood race. To that end we construct and e...

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets
			: How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets : How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ? »

Volume/Issue: 1996/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anthony Richards

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1996

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844757.001

ISBN: 9781451844757

Keywords: emerging markets, predictability, autocorrelation, cointegration, standard deviation

This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been n...

Natural Resource Endowments, Governance, and the Domestic Revenue Effort
			: Evidence from a Panel of Countries

Natural Resource Endowments, Governance, and the Domestic Revenue Effort : Evidence from a Panel of Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2008/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , Fabian Bornhorst , and Sanjeev Gupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870282.001

ISBN: 9781451870282

Keywords: hydrocarbon revenues, domestic revenue effort, government revenue, equation, statistics, autocorrelation,

The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates governance problems...

Imperfect Information and Saving in a Small Open Economy

Imperfect Information and Saving in a Small Open Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2011/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Agustin Roitman , and Christian Daude

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455221042.001

ISBN: 9781455221042

Keywords: saving, uncertainty, Bayesian learning, Markov switching, autocorrelation, stochastic process, correlation, probabilities, statistics, Asymmetric and Private Information,

Emerging markets are more volatile and face different types of shocks, in size and nature, compared to their developed counterparts. Accurate identification of the stochastic properties of shocks is difficult. We s...