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Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR1

Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR1 »

Source: Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR

Volume/Issue: 2007/150

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

ISBN: 9781451867145

Keywords: Revenue Volatility, Value at Risk, fiscal risks, tax revenue, bootstrap, tax base,

Hong Kong SAR's government faces the dual challenges of volatile revenue and medium term spending pressures arising from a rapidly aging population. Age-related spending pressures raise long-run sustainability conc...

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry1

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry1 »

Source: Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry

Volume/Issue: 2012/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Germán López-Espinosa , Antonio Rubia , Laura Valderrama , and Antonio Moreno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

ISBN: 9781475504347

Keywords: Value at Risk, systemic risk, tail-risk dependence, downside risk, financial system, statistics, bond, financial institutions, probability

To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called Co...

Sukuk vs. Eurobonds

Sukuk vs. Eurobonds »

Source: Sukuk vs. Eurobonds : Is There a Difference in Value-at-Risk?

Volume/Issue: 2007/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Faezeh Raei , and Selim Cakir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2007

ISBN: 9781451868012

Keywords: Sukuk, Sharia-Compliance, Eurobonds, Value-at-Risk, Diversification, bond, conventional bonds, islamic bonds, bond portfolios,

This paper assesses the impact of bonds issued according to Islamic principles (Sukuk), on the cost and risk structure of investment portfolios by using the Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework. The market for Sukuk has g...

Central Bank Vulnerability and the Credibility of Commitments

Central Bank Vulnerability and the Credibility of Commitments »

Source: Central Bank Vulnerability and the Credibility of Commitments : A Value-at-Risk Approach to Currency Crises

Volume/Issue: 1998/65

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Liliana Schumacher , and Mario Bléjer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1998

ISBN: 9781451962659

Keywords: Central banking, financial vulnerability, value at risk, currency crises, central bank, domestic currency, foreign debt

A loss of solvency increases central bank vulnerability, reducing the credibility of commitments to defend a nominal regime, including an exchange rate peg. This paper develops a methodology to assess central bank...

Calibrating Your Intuition

Calibrating Your Intuition »

Source: Calibrating Your Intuition : Capital Allocation for Market and Credit Risk

Volume/Issue: 2002/99

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Kupiec

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2002

ISBN: 9781451852288

Keywords: value at risk, capital allocation, bond, equity capital, stock capital, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation,

Value-at-Risk (VaR) models often are used to estimate the equity investment that is required to limit the default rate on funding debt. Typical VaR "buffer stock" capital calculations produce biased estimates. To e...

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity

Volume/Issue: 2003/79

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Theodore Barnhill , and George Kopits

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451850222

Keywords: Value-at-Risk analysis, vulnerability to crises, emerging markets, fiscal sustainability, probability, fiscal risk, fiscal vulnerability, Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Unlike conventional fiscal sustainability assessments, the Value-at-Risk approach developed in this paper explicitly captures the contribution of key risk variables to public sector vulnerability. In an illustrativ...

Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings

Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings »

Source: Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings

Volume/Issue: 2005/78

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Amadou Sy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2005

ISBN: 9781451860979

Keywords: interest rate, duration, value-at-risk, capital adequacy, holdings of government securities, government securities holdings, capital adequacy ratio, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The large holdings of government securities by banks in India draw attention to their risk as interest rates are at historical low levels. This paper measures such a risk using duration and value-at-risk methods an...

Operational Risk

Operational Risk »

Source: Operational Risk : The Sting is Still in the Tail But the Poison Dependson the Dose

Volume/Issue: 2007/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andreas Jobst

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2007

ISBN: 9781451868036

Keywords: financial regulation, Basel Committee, Basel II, New Basel Capital Accord, extreme value theory, generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution, extreme value theory (EVT), generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), peak-over-threshold (POT) method, g-and-h distribution

This paper investigates the generalized parametric measurement methods of aggregate operational risk in compliance with the regulatory capital standards for operational risk in the New Basel Capital Accord ("Basel...

Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR

Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR »

Volume/Issue: 2007/150

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451867145.001

ISBN: 9781451867145

Keywords: Revenue Volatility, Value at Risk, fiscal risks, tax revenue, bootstrap, tax base,

Hong Kong SAR's government faces the dual challenges of volatile revenue and medium term spending pressures arising from a rapidly aging population. Age-related spending pressures raise long-run sustainability conc...

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry »

Volume/Issue: 2012/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Germán López-Espinosa , Antonio Rubia , Laura Valderrama , and Antonio Moreno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504347.001

ISBN: 9781475504347

Keywords: Value at Risk, systemic risk, tail-risk dependence, downside risk, financial system, statistics, bond, financial institutions, probability

To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called Co...