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Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries

Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries »

Source: Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries

Volume/Issue: 2005/6

Series: IMF Policy Discussion Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry , and Abdul Abiad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2005

ISBN: 9781451975703

Keywords: Primary surplus;, public debt sustainability, debt, public debt, primary surplus, debt sustainability, interest rates, National Budget, Deficit, and Debt,

This paper aims to put some constraints on the way primary surpluses are projected when making assessments of public debt sustainability. Projections should be tied either to the country's historical track record i...

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt »

Source: Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Volume/Issue: 2006/295

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner , and Issouf Samaké

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865554

Keywords: Tax smoothing, Sustainability, Historical Decomposition, Primary Surplus, debt ratio, fiscal sustainability, fiscal gap,

This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fi...

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods »

Source: Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Volume/Issue: 2005/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and Douglas Hostland

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2005

ISBN: 9781451862454

Keywords: risk measures, fiscal rule, public debt, external debt, debt burden, current account, primary fiscal balance, Simulation Methods, National Deficit Surplus,

This paper applies stochastic simulation methods to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies and provide probability measures for projections of the external and public debt burden over the medium te...

Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries

Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2005/6

Series: IMF Policy Discussion Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry , and Abdul Abiad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451975703.003

ISBN: 9781451975703

Keywords: Primary surplus;, public debt sustainability, debt, public debt, primary surplus, debt sustainability, interest rates, National Budget, Deficit, and Debt,

This paper aims to put some constraints on the way primary surpluses are projected when making assessments of public debt sustainability. Projections should be tied either to the country's historical track record i...

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt
			: A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey »

Volume/Issue: 2006/295

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner , and Issouf Samaké

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865554.001

ISBN: 9781451865554

Keywords: Tax smoothing, Sustainability, Historical Decomposition, Primary Surplus, debt ratio, fiscal sustainability, fiscal gap,

This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fi...

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods »

Volume/Issue: 2005/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and Douglas Hostland

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451862454.001

ISBN: 9781451862454

Keywords: risk measures, fiscal rule, public debt, external debt, debt burden, current account, primary fiscal balance, Simulation Methods, National Deficit Surplus,

This paper applies stochastic simulation methods to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies and provide probability measures for projections of the external and public debt burden over the medium te...