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The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited »

Source: The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2008/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Harjes , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870299

Keywords: ECB, monetary analysis, monetary pillar, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, generalized dynamic factor model, inflation

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exc...

The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy

The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy »

Source: The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy : Further Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2003/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2003

ISBN: 9781451856910

Keywords: Price Puzzle, New Keynesian Models, Bayesian Methods, nominal interest rate, central bank, monetary economics, Bayesian Analysis, Simulation Methods, Price-Puzzle,

This paper estimates the importance of the cost channel of monetary policy in a New Keynesian model of the business cycle. A model with nominal rigidities is extended by assuming that a fraction of firms need to bo...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Source: The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India1

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India1 »

Source: A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India

Volume/Issue: 2010/183

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Muneesh Kapur , and Michael Patra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202171

Keywords: IS Curve, Monetary Transmission, Neutral Interest Rate, New Keynesian Model, Phillips Curve, inflation, aggregate demand, real interest rate, monetary policy reaction function, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation...

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy1

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy1 »

Source: Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2012/206

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Constant Lonkeng Ngouana

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505566

Keywords: Consumer services, DSGE model, Household production, Monetary shock, Nondurable goods, New Keynesian Phillips curve, inflation, monetary shocks, monetary economics, inflation dynamics

A distinctive feature of market-provided services is that some of them have close substitutes at home. Households may therefore switch between consuming home and market services in response to changes in the real w...

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S »

Source: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S

Volume/Issue: 2010/243

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Susan Yang , and Nora Traum

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209439

Keywords: Monetary and Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions, New Keynesian Models, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, monetary authority, nominal interest rate, monetary economics, Bayesian Analysis, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

A New Keynesian model allowing for an active monetary and passive fiscal policy (AMPF) regime and a passive monetary and active fiscal policy (PMAF) regime is fit to various U.S. samples from 1955 to 2007. Data in...

Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains

Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains »

Source: Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains : Evidence from Sectoral Data

Volume/Issue: 2010/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Maral Shamloo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982664

Keywords: Multi-sector model, Intermediate inputs, Heterogeneity, New-Keynesian Phillips curve, Production chain, inflation, relative price, monetary economics, aggregate demand, Prices

Reconciling the high frequency of price changes at the micro level and their apparent rigidity at the aggregate level has been the subject of considerable debate in macroeconomics recently. In this paper I show tha...

Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment

Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment »

Source: Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment

Volume/Issue: 2020/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruoyun Mao , and Shu-Chun Susan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2020

ISBN: 9781513546797

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Real interest rates, Business cycles, Economic sectors, government spending effects, fiscal multiplier, regime-switching policy, monetary and fiscal policy interaction, nonlinear New Keynesian models

The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multiplie...

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap*

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap* »

Source: The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap

Volume/Issue: 2020/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiaqian Chen , Daria Finocchiaro , Jesper Lindé , and Karl Walentin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2020

ISBN: 9781513546803

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Economic policy, Price indexes, Real interest rates, Household debt, Zero lower bound, New Keynesian model, Collateral and borrowing constraints, Mortgage interest deductibility

We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs...

On the First-Round Effects of International Food Price Shocks

On the First-Round Effects of International Food Price Shocks »

Source: On the First-Round Effects of International Food Price Shocks : the Role of the Asset Market Structure

Volume/Issue: 2015/33

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rafael Portillo , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 February 2015

ISBN: 9781498333092

Keywords: Food Price Shocks, First-Round Effects, New-Keynesian Models, Asset Market Structure, food, price, market, prices, inflation, General

We develop a tractable small open-economy model to study the first-round effects of international food price shocks in developing countries. We define first-round effects as changes in headline inflation that, hold...