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Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy1

Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy1 »

Source: Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Volume/Issue: 2010/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205271

Keywords: Bayesian Analysis, New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Cyclically-Adjusted Balance, Fiscal Stance, Fiscal Impulse, fiscal balance,

This paper employs several econometric techniques to estimate the Armenian output gap. The findings indicate that the output gap is significantly positive in 2007 and 2008 and decreased dramatically in 2009. The pa...

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India1

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India1 »

Source: A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India

Volume/Issue: 2010/183

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Muneesh Kapur , and Michael Patra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202171

Keywords: IS Curve, Monetary Transmission, Neutral Interest Rate, New Keynesian Model, Phillips Curve, inflation, aggregate demand, real interest rate, monetary policy reaction function, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation...

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy1

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy1 »

Source: Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2012/206

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Constant Lonkeng Ngouana

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505566

Keywords: Consumer services, DSGE model, Household production, Monetary shock, Nondurable goods, New Keynesian Phillips curve, inflation, monetary shocks, monetary economics, inflation dynamics

A distinctive feature of market-provided services is that some of them have close substitutes at home. Households may therefore switch between consuming home and market services in response to changes in the real w...

New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through

New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through »

Source: New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Volume/Issue: 2008/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): David Cook , and Woon Choi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

ISBN: 9781451870718

Keywords: pass-through effects, local currency pricing, new Keynesian Phillips curve, forward-looking expectation, inflation, price inflation, money market, monetary economics, monetary policy,

Using the theory of optimal local currency pricing, this paper constructs a structural equation to estimate the rate at which foreign producer prices pass through the local currency prices of imported goods in the...

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited »

Source: The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2008/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Harjes , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870299

Keywords: ECB, monetary analysis, monetary pillar, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, generalized dynamic factor model, inflation

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exc...

Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2010/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455205271.001

ISBN: 9781455205271

Keywords: Bayesian Analysis, New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Cyclically-Adjusted Balance, Fiscal Stance, Fiscal Impulse, fiscal balance,

This paper employs several econometric techniques to estimate the Armenian output gap. The findings indicate that the output gap is significantly positive in 2007 and 2008 and decreased dramatically in 2009. The pa...

Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains

Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains »

Source: Price Setting in a Model with Production Chains : Evidence from Sectoral Data

Volume/Issue: 2010/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Maral Shamloo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982664

Keywords: Multi-sector model, Intermediate inputs, Heterogeneity, New-Keynesian Phillips curve, Production chain, inflation, relative price, monetary economics, aggregate demand, Prices

Reconciling the high frequency of price changes at the micro level and their apparent rigidity at the aggregate level has been the subject of considerable debate in macroeconomics recently. In this paper I show tha...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Source: The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India

A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India »

Volume/Issue: 2010/183

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Muneesh Kapur , and Michael Patra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455202171.001

ISBN: 9781455202171

Keywords: IS Curve, Monetary Transmission, Neutral Interest Rate, New Keynesian Model, Phillips Curve, inflation, aggregate demand, real interest rate, monetary policy reaction function, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation...

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy

Household Production, Services and Monetary Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2012/206

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Constant Lonkeng Ngouana

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505566.001

ISBN: 9781475505566

Keywords: Consumer services, DSGE model, Household production, Monetary shock, Nondurable goods, New Keynesian Phillips curve, inflation, monetary shocks, monetary economics, inflation dynamics

A distinctive feature of market-provided services is that some of them have close substitutes at home. Households may therefore switch between consuming home and market services in response to changes in the real w...