Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 88 items

  • Keyword: Model Construction and Estimation, x
Clear All Modify Search
A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana

A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana »

Source: A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana

Volume/Issue: 2010/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kevin Clinton , Jihad Dagher , Ondrej Kamenik , Douglas Laxton , Ali Alichi , and Marshall Mills

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

ISBN: 9781451962444

Keywords: inflation, central bank, low inflation, Model Construction and Estimation

A model in which monetary policy pursues full-fledged inflation targeting adapts well to Ghana. Model features include: endogenous policy credibility; non-linearities in the inflation process; and a policy loss fun...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2008/279

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jared Laxton , Igor Ermolaev , Charles Freedman , Ondrej Kamenik , Michel Juillard , Douglas Laxton , Ioan Carabenciov , and Dmitry Korshunov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871371

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, correlations, equations, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the second of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studyi...

A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output

A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output »

Source: A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output

Volume/Issue: 2015/79

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475565133

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, output, economy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and o...

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States »

Source: Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

Volume/Issue: 2015/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Alichi , Olivier Bizimana , Silvia Domit , Emilio Fernández Corugedo , Douglas Laxton , Kadir Tanyeri , Hou Wang , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513556222

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, inflation, unemployment, gdp, productivity, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

The estimates of potential output and the output gap presented in this paper are not official IMF estimates. The programs and potential output estimates in this paper can be downloaded from www.douglaslaxton.org.Th...

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts' »

Source: Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Volume/Issue: 2015/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Dowling , Sergi Lanau , Mico Mrkaic , Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513503271

Keywords: Output gap, variables, gdp, demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Model Construction and Estimation, Estimation, All Countries,

Potential output-in the sense of the GDP level or path an economy can sustain over the medium term-is a crucial benchmark for policymakers. However, it is difficult to estimate when financial 'booms and busts' are...

A Small Structural Monetary Policy Model for Small Open Economies with Debt Accumulation

A Small Structural Monetary Policy Model for Small Open Economies with Debt Accumulation »

Source: A Small Structural Monetary Policy Model for Small Open Economies with Debt Accumulation

Volume/Issue: 2008/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and A. R. Pagan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2008

ISBN: 9781451869262

Keywords: Small open economy, model construction and estimation, inflation, terms of trade, open economy, foreign currency,

We extend a small New Keynesian structural model used for monetary policy analysis to address a richer class of policy issues that arise in open economy analysis. We draw a distinction between absorption and domest...

Inflation Targeting with NAIRU Uncertainty and Endogenous Policy Credibility

Inflation Targeting with NAIRU Uncertainty and Endogenous Policy Credibility »

Source: Inflation Targeting with NAIRU Uncertainty and Endogenous Policy Credibility

Volume/Issue: 2001/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Isard , Douglas Laxton , and Ann-Charlotte Eliasson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2001

ISBN: 9781451842418

Keywords: monetary policy rules, credibility, NAIRU uncertainty, inflation, inflation rate, monetary authorities, Model Construction and Estimation,

Stochastic simulations are employed to compare performance of monetary policy rules in linear and nonlinear variants of a small macro model with NAIRU uncertainity under different assumptions about the way inflatio...

Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Flexibility of the U.S. Economy

Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Flexibility of the U.S. Economy »

Source: Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Flexibility of the U.S. Economy

Volume/Issue: 2004/24

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Silvia Sgherri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2004

ISBN: 9781451844177

Keywords: Inflation dynamics, Kalman filter, aggregate demand, real interest rate, monetary economics, Model Construction and Estimation,

Extending recent theoretical contributions on sources of inflation inertia, we argue that monetary uncertainty accounts for sluggish expectations adjustment to nominal disturbances. Estimating a model in which rati...

Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff

Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff »

Source: Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff : Some Evidence From 17 Industrial Countries

Volume/Issue: 2002/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Papa N'Diaye , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451875218

Keywords: Phillips Curve, Lucas Critique, inflation targeting, inflation process, long-term interest rates, Model Construction and Estimation,

Using data on long-term interest rates for 17 industrial countries, this paper develops some simple measures of monetary policy credibility and then tests if such measures improve the out-of-sample forecasts of con...