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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2017
			: Getting the Policy Mix Right

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2017 : Getting the Policy Mix Right »

Series: Global Financial Stability Report

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 April 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475564563.082

ISBN: 9781475564563

Keywords: Emerging markets, Financial intermediation, Financial stability, Financial soundness indicators, Interest rates. Economic models, Economic integration, Market economies, Interest rates, Credit, Macroprudential policies and financial stability

Financial stability has continued to improve since the October 2016 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR). Economic activity has gained momentum, as outlined in the April 2017 World Economic Outlook (WEO), amid...

Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment1

Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment1 »

Source: Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment

Volume/Issue: 2020/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , and Benjamin Hunt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2020

ISBN: 9781513536460

Keywords: Economic models, Economic policy, Business cycles, Monetary policy, Fiscal policy, DSGE models, predictive density, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, skew

This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and...

The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus1

The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus1 »

Source: The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus

Volume/Issue: 2009/3

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , and Charles Freedman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 March 2009

ISBN: 9781455268368

Keywords: Financial sector, Financial crisis, Economic models, Central banks, Cross country analysis, Economic growth, Spillovers, Stabilization measures, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

This paper presents simulations with a multicountry structural model to show that worldwide expansionary fiscal policy combined with accommodative monetary policy can have significant multiplier effects on the worl...

Reading the Stars

Reading the Stars »

Source: Reading the Stars

Volume/Issue: 2020/136

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Williams , Yasser Abdih , and Emanuel Kopp

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2020

ISBN: 9781513550916

Keywords: Economic stabilization, Financial crises, Economic analysis, Business cycles, Price indexes, Output gap, potential growth, neutral interest rate, factor models., WP

Following the global financial crisis, significant uncertainty has existed around the U.S. economy's steady state equilibrium. This paper uses a factor model to provide a new approach to estimating 'the stars' (i.e...

Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment

Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment »

Source: Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment

Volume/Issue: 2020/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruoyun Mao , and Shu-Chun Susan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2020

ISBN: 9781513546797

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Real interest rates, Business cycles, Economic sectors, government spending effects, fiscal multiplier, regime-switching policy, monetary and fiscal policy interaction, nonlinear New Keynesian models

The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multiplie...

Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Supplementary Information

Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Supplementary Information »

Source: Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Supplementary Information

Volume/Issue: 2011/010

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2011

ISBN: 9781498339377

Keywords: Banks, Economic models, Emerging markets, External shocks, Foreign exchange, Reserves, Reserves adequacy, Financial crises, Real interest rates, Exchange rate regimes

The dramatic increase in reserves holdings over the past decade has resumed since the global financial crisis, even at an accelerated pace. While the crisis has heightened perceptions of the importance of holding a...

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap*

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap* »

Source: The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap

Volume/Issue: 2020/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiaqian Chen , Daria Finocchiaro , Jesper Lindé , and Karl Walentin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2020

ISBN: 9781513546803

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Economic policy, Price indexes, Real interest rates, Household debt, Zero lower bound, New Keynesian model, Collateral and borrowing constraints, Mortgage interest deductibility

We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs...

Climate Disaster Risks - Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model*

Climate Disaster Risks - Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model* »

Source: Climate Disaster Risks - Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model

Volume/Issue: 2019/145

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Mittnik , Willi Semmler , and Alexander Haider

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 July 2019

ISBN: 9781498320849

Keywords: Real sector, Economic growth, Interest costs, Interest rates on loans, Low income countries, climate economics, disaster risk, macro feedbacks, multi-phase macro model, monetary and financial policies

Recent research in financial economics has shown that rare large disasters have the potential to disrupt financial sectors via the destruction of capital stocks and jumps in risk premia. These disruptions often ent...

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S »

Source: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S

Volume/Issue: 2010/243

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Susan Yang , and Nora Traum

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209439

Keywords: Monetary and Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions, New Keynesian Models, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, monetary authority, nominal interest rate, monetary economics, Bayesian Analysis, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

A New Keynesian model allowing for an active monetary and passive fiscal policy (AMPF) regime and a passive monetary and active fiscal policy (PMAF) regime is fit to various U.S. samples from 1955 to 2007. Data in...

2014 Triennial Surveillance Review - External Study - Risks and Spillovers

2014 Triennial Surveillance Review - External Study - Risks and Spillovers »

Source: 2014 Triennial Surveillance Review - External Study - Risks and Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 2014/048

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 July 2014

ISBN: 9781498342926

Keywords: Bilateral surveillance, Financial risk, Macroprudential Policy, Monetary policy, Multilateral surveillance, Spillovers, Surveillance, Asset prices, Assets, Balance sheets

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