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A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices1

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices

Volume/Issue: 2008/280

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michel Juillard , Charles Freedman , Dmitry Korshunov , Douglas Laxton , Ondrej Kamenik , Ioan Carabenciov , Igor Ermolaev , and Jared Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871388

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, rate of inflation, equations,

This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studyin...

A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy1

A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy

Volume/Issue: 2008/278

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Igor Ermolaev , Michel Juillard , Ioan Carabenciov , Charles Freedman , Douglas Laxton , Ondrej Kamenik , and Dmitry Korshunov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871364

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, correlation, forecasting, standard deviation,

This is the first of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both...

An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries

An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries »

Source: An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2007/282

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shanaka Peiris , and Magnus Saxegaard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2007

ISBN: 9781451868456

Keywords: DSGE, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, monetary policy rules, monetary fund,

This paper evaluates monetary policy-tradeoffs in low-income countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated on data for Mozambique taking into account the sources of major exogenous...

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1

A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model1 »

Source: A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2008/279

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jared Laxton , Igor Ermolaev , Charles Freedman , Ondrej Kamenik , Michel Juillard , Douglas Laxton , Ioan Carabenciov , and Dmitry Korshunov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2008

ISBN: 9781451871371

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, correlations, equations, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the second of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studyi...

Financial Factors

Financial Factors »

Source: Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...

Growth Determinants Revisited

Growth Determinants Revisited »

Source: Growth Determinants Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2009/268

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides , and Alin Mirestean

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2009

ISBN: 9781451874136

Keywords: growth regressions, Bayesian Model Averaging, dynamic panel estimation, limited information estimation, probability, econometrics, probabilities, equation, growth model,

This paper revisits the cross-country growth empirics debate using a novel Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging framework to address model uncertainty in the context of a dynamic growth model in panel data...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy »

Source: The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...

A Bayesian-Estimated Model of Inflation Targeting in South Africa

A Bayesian-Estimated Model of Inflation Targeting in South Africa »

Source: A Bayesian-Estimated Model of Inflation Targeting in South Africa

Volume/Issue: 2008/48

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Thomas Harjes , and Luca Ricci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2008

ISBN: 9781451869101

Keywords: monetary model, Bayesian estimation, monetary policy, real interest rate, monetary transmission,

This paper estimates a small dynamic macroeconomic model for the South African economy with Bayesian methods. The model is tailored to assessing the impact of domestic as well as external shocks on inflation within...