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Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Source: Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...

Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies

Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies »

Source: Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies

Volume/Issue: 2009/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zvi Wiener , and Dan Galai

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2009

ISBN: 9781451872576

Keywords: credit spread, currency mismatch, Merton&;amp;#x2019;s model, correlation, bond, present value, probability,

The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign curr...

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria

Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria »

Source: Consumption-Based Interest Rate and the Present-Value Model of the Current Account-Evidence from Nigeria

Volume/Issue: 2001/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olumuyiwa Adedeji

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

ISBN: 9781451851656

Keywords: Present-value model, consumption-based interest rate, current account, current account balance, current accounts, external shocks, balance of payments, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper presents a model of current account determination, based upon the permanent-income hypothesis. A present-value relationship among the current account, changes in net output, the exchange rate and the ter...

Zimbabwe: Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Zimbabwe: Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation »

Source: Zimbabwe : Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2010

ISBN: 9781462309184

Keywords: Dollarization, Economic models, Economic recovery, Exchange rate regimes, External sector, Global competitiveness, Tax administration, inflation, present value, central bank

This paper examines the challenges and policy options after hyperinflation in Zimbabwe. The paper reviews the pros and cons of alternative monetary regimes for Zimbabwe to succeed the current multicurrency system,...

Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL)

Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL) »

Source: Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL) : A Model Approach

Volume/Issue: 2012/209

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andreas Jobst

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505597

Keywords: Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR), extreme value theory, macroprudential regulation, financial institutions, financial stability, present value, liquidity support, financial system, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation

Little progress has been made so far in addressing-in a comprehensive way-the externalities caused by impact of the interconnectedness within institutions and markets on funding and market liquidity risk within fin...

Chapter 1. Introduction

Chapter 1. Introduction »

Source: Zimbabwe : Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2010

ISBN: 9781462309184

Keywords: Dollarization, Economic models, Economic recovery, Exchange rate regimes, External sector, Global competitiveness, Tax administration, inflation, present value, central bank

Following a decade of economic decline and hyperinflation during 2007—08, Zimbabwe’s economy has started to grow. The nascent economic recovery has been supported by a significant improvement in economic pol...

Chapter 2. Choosing a Monetary Regime1

Chapter 2. Choosing a Monetary Regime1 »

Source: Zimbabwe : Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2010

ISBN: 9781462309184

Keywords: Dollarization, Economic models, Economic recovery, Exchange rate regimes, External sector, Global competitiveness, Tax administration, inflation, present value, central bank

Backģround In late 2008, hyperinflation led to abandonment of the Zimbabwe dollar in transactions and de facto widespread dollariza...

Chapter 3. Assessing Competitiveness and External Sustainability in Zimbabwe18

Chapter 3. Assessing Competitiveness and External Sustainability in Zimbabwe18 »

Source: Zimbabwe : Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2010

ISBN: 9781462309184

Keywords: Dollarization, Economic models, Economic recovery, Exchange rate regimes, External sector, Global competitiveness, Tax administration, inflation, present value, central bank

Introduction After many years of falling output and hyperinflation, Zimbabwe has been experiencing a fragile recovery since early 2009. During its dec...

Chapter 4. Creatinģ Fiscal Space for Growth and Development in Zimbabwe28

Chapter 4. Creatinģ Fiscal Space for Growth and Development in Zimbabwe28 »

Source: Zimbabwe : Challenges and Policy Options after Hyperinflation

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2010

ISBN: 9781462309184

Keywords: Dollarization, Economic models, Economic recovery, Exchange rate regimes, External sector, Global competitiveness, Tax administration, inflation, present value, central bank

Introduction Between 2000 and 2008, spiraling inflation, brought on by quasi-fiscal activities of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe, and...

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account »

Volume/Issue: 2004/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacques Miniane , and Benoît Mercereau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852929.001

ISBN: 9781451852929

Keywords: present value model, model evaluation, correlation, probability, covariance, statistic, Bayesian Analysis, Model Evaluation and Selection, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditiona...