International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
GDP growth is likely to remain strong, although narrowly driven by a mining investment boom, increasing the economy's vulnerability to terms of trade shocks. Outside the mining sector, growth is expected to be slow with still weak consumer confidence and a strong exchange rate weighing on business investment. The main risks are external, and include an intensification of the euro crisis and a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.