The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.
Using a dataset covering a large sample of emerging economies (EMEs), we
study the relationship between debt and economic performance in bad times.
While previous research has shown that private debt buildups exacerbate the
duration and intensity of recessions in advanced economies (AEs), we document
that this effect is very pronounced in EMEs as well. Moreover, although rapid
public debt buildups are unlikely to be the primary trigger of financial crises,
in EMEs they are associated with deeper and longer recessions than in AEs.
Part of this difference is explained by a less supportive fiscal policy in EMEs