The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.
This paper analyzes the demand for narrow money balances in the Netherlands. Demand for narrow money balances had increased markedly in relation to GNP in the Netherlands throughout the 1980s. This phenomenon could not be explained satisfactorily with traditional Goldfeld-type money demand functions which had performed well until that time. Drawing on advances in dynamic modeling from the error corrections and cointegration literature, and incorporating yield-curve effects and the exchange rate of the guilder with the U.S. dollar as additional monetary indicators significantly improves the performance of money demand estimates.