Economic Performance Over the Conflict Cycle

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Economic Performance Over the Conflict Cycle
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Volume/Issue:
2004/95
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Author(s):
Nicholas Staines
Publisher:
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Published Date:
June 2004
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451851854.001
ISBN:
9781451851854
ISSN:
1018-5941
Page:
41
The paper finds a significant shift in the economic characteristics of civil conflicts during the1990s. Conflicts have become shorter but with more severe contractions and a stronger recovery of growth. The overall length and cost of the conflict cycle has probably declined. The stance of macroeconomic policy was an important factor while the underlying "conflict process" remained unchanged. This shift seems related to changes in aid flows since the Cold War: donors became disinclined to provide support during conflict, but more inclined after conflict. These findings are buttressed by the post-conflict experience of countries that received financial assistance from the IMF and of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). These findings have implications for policy and aid priorities after conflict.
Article

Economic Performance Over the Conflict Cycle

Author(s):
Nicholas Staines
Published Date:
June 2004
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